Avigilon page post 1

Revenue
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14          
32,650        32,027        39,217        51,157        55,943        55,750        

Cost of Revenue
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14          
16,352        15,678        18,473        24,006        23,456        23,953

Gross Margin
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14          
16,298        16,349        20,744        27,151        32,487        31,797        

Net Income
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14          
3,046         2,798         3,392         8,622         6,744         8,040               

EPS (Basic)
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14                   
.09           .07           .09           .22           .16           .19          

Diluted Shares(000's)
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14          
39,748        40,551        40,398        41,369        42,673        44,498         

Inventories
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14          
11,906        13,139        14701         16,660        19,444        32,523

Cash
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14          
49,859        50,728        32,105        34209         104,875       60,125

Debt
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14          
0             0             0             0             0             0

Cashflow
4q12          1q13          2q13          3q13          4q13          1q14          
2143          157          (3,462)        2,083         6342          (11,067) 

Subject: Avigilon (Aiocf) Pink Sheets
Author: Buynholdisdead
Date: 07/5/2014
Sector: Technology
Industry: Hardware


Avigilon Corporation (Aiocf) Closing Price $22.83

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Lumber: $338.10

Today the Price is $22.83: The P/E ratio is 36.24

**February 29th, 2012 4Q:2011 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $18.9 million up 85% from $10.2 million
**TTM Revenues were $60 million up 86% from $32.3 million
**Cost of Revenues were $9.3 million up 69% from $5.5 million
**Gross Profit were $9.6 million up 108% from $4.6 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 51%
**TTM Gross Profit were $27.6 million up 89% from $14.6 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 46%
**Net Income were $1.6 million up from $(216) million
**TTM Net Income were $3.8 million up from $964 thousand
**4Q Earnings per share were $.05 up from $.00
**TTM Earnings per share were $.14 up from $.05
**Diluted share count were 31,021,287 up from 17,248,202 Year over Year
**4Q Cash Flow was ($.8 million) flat from ($.8 million)
**TTM Cash Flow was ( $4.5 million) down from ( $2.1million)
**Cash $12.4 million up from $2.3 million
**Debt 0 down from $1.8 Million
**Inventory for the quarter were 11,254,000 up 47% from 5,307,000 YoY

** To date, Avigilon systems have been installed at over 12,000 customer sites in more than 80 countries, including school campuses, transportation systems, healthcare centres, public venues, critical infrastructure, prisons, factories, casinos, airports, financial institutions, government facilities and retailers.
**Company IPO’D November 8th 2011 and traded on Toronto exchange under symbol AVO

**May 10th, 2012 1Q:2012 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $17.8 million up 78% from $10 million
**TTM Revenues were $67.8 million up 84% from $36.8 million
**Cost of Revenues were $9.3 million up 66% from $5.6 million
**Gross Profit were $8.5 million up 93% from $4.4 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 48%
**TTM Gross Profit were $31.6 million up 93% from $16.4 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 47%
**Net Income were $647 thousand up from $121 thousand
**1Q Earnings per share were $.02 up from $.01
**TTM Earnings per share were $.15 up 150% from $.06
**Diluted share count were 34,832,000 up from 31,021,287 Quarter over Quarter
**Cash Flow for the quarter was ( $3 million) down from ($2.7million)
**Cash $9.5 million down from $12.4 million
**Debt 0
**Inventory for the quarter were 13,390,000 up from 11,254,000

**On March 26, 2012, at ISC West 2012, we launched our next generation H.264 camera technology, the H3 platform with enhanced High-Definition Stream Management. Starting with our new 3MP and 5MP cameras, H3 provides a number of benefits, including requiring four times less bandwidth in challenging lighting conditions than previous H.264 versions. The 3MP and 5MP cameras on the H3 platform will start shipping in May, 2012.

**The H3 platform was expanded on May 8, 2012 with the release of our new high-definition Pan-Tilt-Zoom (“PTZ”) camera available in 1MP or 2 MP resolutions. The indoor and outdoor pendant PTZ cameras provide precise positioning and predictable high-speed tracking, and are targeted specifically at expansive areas with manned operations, such as large retail chains, airports, petrochemical, casinos, and city surveillance, among others. The PTZ cameras also feature a custom-designed HD bubble made specifically for high-definition video

**August 8th, 2012 2Q:2012 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $24.4 million up 52% from $16 million
**TTM Revenues were $76.2 million up 71% from $44.5 million
**Cost of Revenues were $12.7 million up 35% from $9.4 million
**Gross Profit were $11.7 million up from $6.7 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 48%
**TTM Gross Profit were $36.6 million up 89% from $19.4 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 48%
**Net Income were $1.3 million up 18% from $1.1 million
**2Q Earnings per share were $.04 flat from $.04
**TTM Earnings per share were $.15 up 88% from $.08
**Diluted share count were 35,040,000 up from 34,832,000 Quarter over Quarter
**Cash Flow for the quarter was $2.6 million up from ($2.5) million
**Cash $12.4 million up from $9.5 million
**Debt 0
**Inventory for the quarter were 9,755,000 down from 13,390,000

**November 7th 3Q:2012 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $25.5 million up 69% from $15.1 million
**TTM Revenues were $86.6 million up 69% from $51.3 million
**Cost of Revenues were $12.5 million up 51% from $8.3 million
**Gross Profit were $13 million up 88% from $6.9 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 51%
**TTM Gross Profit were $42.7 million up 88% from $22.6 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 49%
**Net Income were $2.2 million up 120% from $1 million
**3Q Earnings per share were $.06 up 50% from $.04
**TTM Earnings per share were $.17 up 89% from $.09
**Diluted share count were 36,436,000 up from 35,040,000 Quarter over Quarter
**Cash Flow for the quarter was $8 million up from $1.5 million
**TTM cash flow was $6.8 million up from ($4.4 million)
**Cash $45.6 million up from 12.4 million
**Debt 0
**Inventory for the quarter were 9,515,000 down from 9,755,000
**Trading range between $7.02 to $9.96
**P/E range 41.29 to 58.59
**P/S range 2.95 to 4.19

**On August 31, 2012, we started shipping our first high-definition Pan-Tilt-Zoom (“PTZ”) camera. The indoor and outdoor pendant PTZ cameras available in 1MP or 2MP resolutions, provide precise positioning and predictable high-speed tracking, and are targeted specifically at expansive areas with manned operations, such as large retail chains, airports, petrochemical, casinos, and city surveillance, among others. The PTZ cameras also feature a custom-designed HD bubble made specifically for high-definition video. The release of the PTZ did not materially add to our revenues in Q3 however we expect its contribution to grow in the future. The global PTZ market is estimated to be worth over $1.3 billion USD and the network PTZ form factor is forecast to be one of the fastest growing security camera types towards 2016. Growth in excess of 25% year-on-year is projected for this category globally.

**February 28th 2013, 4Q:2012 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $32.7 million up 73% from $18.9 million
**TTM Revenues were $100.3 million up 67% from $60 million
**Cost of Revenues were $16.4 million up 76% from $9.3 million
**Gross Profit were $16.3 million up 72% from $9.5 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 50%
**TTM Gross Profit were $49.4 million up 81% from $27.5 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 49%
**Net Income were $3.1 million up 94% from $1.6 million
**Net Margin were 9%
**4Q Earnings per share were $.08 up 60% from $.05
**TTM Earnings per share were $.20 up 43% from $.14
**Diluted share count were 35,223,000 down from 36,436,000 Quarter over Quarter
**Cash Flow for the quarter was $2.5 million up from ($1.1 million)
**TTM cash flow was $10.1 million up from ($4.7 million)
**Cash $49.9 million up from 45.6 million QoQ
**Debt 0
**Inventory for the quarter were 11,906,000 up from 9,515,000
**Trading range between $10.60 to $12.26
**P/E range 53 to 61.3
**P/S range 3.72 to 4.31

**The security surveillance market is large and growing rapidly. The worldwide video surveillance systems market, which includes cameras, video management software, storage hardware, analog video encoders and related equipment, but excludes installation costs, is estimated to have been between US$11 billion and US$16 billion in 2011, and is projected to increase to between US$21 billion and US$29 billion by 2015/20161. This is partly due to growth in customer adoption of new high-definition video surveillance systems. The security video surveillance market today is fragmented, with no one producer commanding a dominant share of the market. According to IMS research in their report “The World Market for CCTV and Video Surveillance Equipment – 2012 Edition”, the 15 largest suppliers of video surveillance equipment accounted for only 43.5% of the market in 2011, and no company had more than a 5.9% share.

**May 9th, 1Q:2013 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $32 million up 80.4 % from $17.8 million
**TTM Revenues were $114.5 million up 69% from $67.8 million
**Cost of Revenues were $15.7 million up 69.3% from $9.3 million
**Gross Profit were $16.3 million up 92.5% from $8.5 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 51%
**TTM Gross Profit were $57.3 million up 81% from $31.6 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 50%
**Net Income were $2,798 million up 332.5% from $647,000
**1Q Earnings per share were $.07 up 250% from $.02
**TTM Earnings per share were $.25 up 67% from $.15
**Diluted share count were 40,551,000 up 15% from 35,223,000 Quarter over Quarter
**Cash Flow for the quarter was $157 thousand up from ($3 million)
**Cash $50.7 million up from $49.9 million
**Debt 0
**Inventory for the quarter were 13,139,000 up 10% from 11,906,000
**Trading range $10.77 to $14.08
**P/E range 43.08 to 56.32
**P/S range 3.81 to 4.99

**The first quarter of 2013 also saw key additions to our Executive Team. In January we hired a Vice President of Engineering to accelerate the growth of research and development and successfully execute on our product roadmap. In February we appointed an Executive Vice President of Global Operations to support the ongoing operation of all departments and facilities worldwide. Finally, we promoted our Vice President of Marketing and Communications to Executive Vice President – Marketing, Communications and Product Strategy With these key changes, we believe that we have the executive team in place to support our goal of growing the company into one of the largest players in the surveillance industry.

**On the innovation front, we also continued to release new products during the quarter. Our new HD Bullet Camera, which we announced at the end of last year, began shipping in January and initial demand has exceeded our expectations. The Bullet Camera includes built-in adaptive Infrared (IR) technology, our patent- pending technology that provides the industry’s most effective and flexible way to capture evidence without a visible light source. The adaptive IR technology is able to intelligently change IR lighting levels based on the scene while reducing motion blur and ignoring areas where there is no movement. This allows the beam of IR illuminators to focus only on the relevant content within the scene and ensures IR illumination is not wasted on irrelevant content. At the end of the quarter we announced that our Adaptive IR technology will be added to our indoor and outdoor H.264 HD Dome cameras, with shipments beginning in April 2013.

**August 8th, 2Q:2013 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $39.2 million up 61% from $24.4 million
**TTM Revenues were $129.4 million up 70% from $76.1 million
**Cost of Revenues were $18.5 million up 46% from $12.7 million
**Gross Profit were $20.7 million up 77% from $11.7 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 53%
**TTM Gross Profit were $66.4 million up 82% from $36.5 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 51%
**Net Income were $3.4 million up 162% from $1.3 million
**2q Earnings per share were $.08 up 100% from $.04
**TTM Earnings per share were $.29 up 93% from $.15
**Diluted share count were 40,399,000 down from 40,551,000 Quarter over Quarter
**Cash Flow for the quarter was ($3.5 million) down from $2.6 million
**Cash $32.1 million down from $50.7 million
**Debt 0
**Inventory for the quarter were 14,701,000 up 12% from 13,139,000
**Trading range between $14.84 to $18.07
**P/E range 39.55 to 62.31
**P/S range 1.51 to 5.64
**In the first half of 2013, Avigilon was honoured with the No. 1 ranking in PROFIT magazine’s 25th annual PROFIT 500 ranking of Canada’s fastest-growing companies. The PROFIT 500 ranks Canadian businesses by their revenue growth over five years. Avigilon’s five-year revenue growth of 49,908% put us at the top of the list. We anticipate our growth to continue as we execute on our mid-term goal to achieve a $500 million revenue run-rate by the end of 2016.

**While our main focus is to grow the business organically, we will also look at opportunistic acquisitions that fit our long term criteria. In May 2013 we acquired RedCloud Security Inc., an innovative provider of web-based, physical and virtual access control systems. Through the acquisition, Avigilon adds a complementary product line to its end-to-end high-definition surveillance solution and provides the Company with access to a growing segment of the global security market. Avigilon paid USD$17.3 million in cash to purchase the entire RedCloud business. The Company expects the acquisition to be neutral to 2013 earnings and accretive to 2014 earnings.

**During the second quarter, Keith Marett was promoted to Executive Vice President of Marketing, Communications and Product Strategy. Mr. Marett has been instrumental in building Avigilon’s global brand; his newly expanded position includes overseeing the product management team in addition to our global marketing and communications program.

On the innovation front, we continued to release new products during the second quarter of 2013:

**Version 5.0 of our Avigilon Control Centre (ACC) VMS, which we announced at the end of 2012, began shipping to customers on June 28, 2013. ACC was re-engineered to be easier to use, with an improved system explorer, simplified software functions and increased video viewing area for better image quality. ACC 5.0 is the industry’s first video management software to introduce collaborative investigations in real-time.

**We announced our new HD micro dome camera, the world’s smallest HD dome camera. Slightly larger than a golf ball, the micro dome camera is a discreet camera with a patent-pending cable design that incorporates the camera’s intelligence into the smart cable.

**We also released our in-ceiling HD Pan-Tilt-Zoom (PTZ) camera. The in-ceiling PTZ has a patent- pending mounting technology using spring-loaded mechanisms that dramatically reduces installation time. The camera requires only a few minutes to install, as no screws are required, and provides ease of customization as a result of the removable dome bubble.

**We added adaptive infrared technology to our indoor and outdoor H.264 HD dome cameras, which provides the industry’s most effective and flexible method to capture evidence without a visible light source. The patent-pending technology is able to intelligently change infrared lighting levels based on the scene while reducing motion blur and ignoring areas where there is no movement.

**November 5th, 3Q:2013 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $51.2 million up 101% from $25.5 million
**TTM Revenues were $155.1 million up 79% from $86.6 million
**Cost of Revenues were $24 million up 92% from $12.5 million
**Gross Profit were $27.2 million up 109% from $13 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 53%
**TTM Gross Profit were $80.5 million up 89% from $42.7 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 52%
**Net Income were $8.6 million up 291% from $2.2 million
**3q Earnings per share were $.21 up 250% from $.06
**TTM Earnings per share were $.44 up 159% from $.17
**Diluted share count were 41,370,000 up from 40,399,000 Quarter over Quarter
**Cash Flow for the quarter was $2.1 million down 74% from $8 million
**Cash $34.2 million up from $32.1 million QoQ
**Debt 0
**Inventory for the quarter were 16,660,000 up 13% from 14,701,000
**Trading range between $14.63 to $20.08
**P/E range 33.25 to 45.64
**P/S range 3.90 to 12.17

** We introduced the LightCatcherTM technology to our camera line-up, and demonstrated it at the ASIS 2013 International conference in Chicago in September 2013. This innovative technology provides the industry’s most effective way to capture evidentiary color detail in extreme low-light environments. By increasing the amount of light and detail captured via the camera and decreasing the noise in the image, LightCatcher technology produces significantly more detail in colour from a low-light scene than any other technology. This combination results in the ability to identify objects of interest more effectively. This new technology helps identify objects of interest more successfully in challenging lighting situations, such as restaurants, bars, hotels, parking lots and alleys.

**We started full shipment of our Avigilon Control Center 5.0 (“ACC 5.0”) video management software in June 2013 and to date it has been well received by the market. This release has been responsible for an increase during the quarter in the percentage of our sales coming from software. ACC was re- engineered to be easier to use, with an improved system explorer, simplified software functions and increased video viewing area for better image quality. ACC 5.0 is the industry’s first video management software to introduce collaborative investigations in real-time.

**We started full shipment of our HD Micro Dome camera in August 2013, we’ve had a high amount of interest and a large number of orders shipped. The HD Micro Dome camera is available in 1 and 2 megapixel and is the world’s smallest HD dome camera as a result of building the camera’s intelligence into the smart cable.

**March 4th, 4Q: 2013 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $55.9 million up 71% from $32.7 million
**TTM Revenues were $178.3 million up 78% from $100.3 million
**Cost of Revenues were $23.5 million up 43% from $16.4 million
**Gross Profit were $32.5 million up 99% from $16.3 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 58%
**TTM Gross Profit were $96.7 million up 96% from $49.4 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 54%
**Net Income were $6.7 million up 123% from $3 million
**4Q Earnings per share were $.16 up 100% from $.08
**TTM Earnings per share were $.53 up 165% from $.20
**Diluted share count were 40,709,000 down from 41,370,000 Quarter over Quarter
**Cash Flow for the quarter was $6.7 million down 168% from $2.5 million
**Cash $105 million up from $34.2 million QoQ
**Debt 0
**Inventory for the quarter were 19,444,000 up 17% from 16,660,000
**Trading range between $25.99 to $31.00
**P/E range 49.03 to 58.49
**P/S range 5.93 to 7.08

**On November 26, 2013, Avigilon issued 2,863,270 common shares, on a bought deal basis, for gross proceeds of approximately $69.0 million. These additional funds will be used for general corporate purposes and for potential strategic acquisitions, part of which were used for the acquisition of VideoIQ.

**Avigilon also was added to the S&P/TSX composite index effective December 20, 2013. Our inclusion in the index is expected to increase Avigilon’s exposure to a broader range of potential investors and provide for enhanced liquidity for our shares.

**May 7th, 1Q: 2014 earnings highlights:
**Revenues were $55.8 million up 74% from $32.0 million
**TTM Revenues were $202.1 million up 77% from $114.5 million
**Cost of Revenues were $24 million up 53% from $15.7 million
**Gross Profit were $31.8 million up 95% from $16.3 million
**Gross Profit Margin were 57%
**TTM Gross Profit were $112.2 million up 96% from $57.3 million
**TTM Gross Profit Margin were 56%
**Net Income were $8 million up 186% from $2.8 million
**1Q Earnings per share were $.18 up 157% from $.07
**TTM Earnings per share were $.63 up 66% from $.38
**Diluted share count were 44,498,000 up from 40,709,000 Quarter over Quarter
**Cash Flow for the quarter was ($11.1) million down from $157 thousand
**Cash $60.1 million down from $105 million QoQ
**Debt 0
**Inventory for the quarter were 32,523,000 up 67% from 19,444,000
**Trading range between $18.59 to $29.94
**P/E range 29.50 to 47.52
**P/S range 4.09 to 6.59

**On December 30, 2013, Avigilon signed a definitive agreement to acquire VideoIQ, Inc. (“VideoIQ”), a leading video analytics company. VideoIQ’s proprietary technology includes live detection, event verification and instant notification and self-learning capabilities. The transaction, which closed on January 13, 2014, provides us with a commercially proven analytics technology, a leading analytics development team and a strong portfolio of video analytics intellectual property, including 40 patents granted or pending internationally. The results of the first quarter of 2014 include the results of VideoIQ from January 13 to March 31, 2014.

**In January we launched our next generation HD Pro series of cameras. Available in 8MP, 12MP and 16MP resolutions, the HD Pro camera provides exceptional low-light performance and smooth capturing of moving objects due to its increased frame rates. The new HD Pro series is engineered using H.264 compression and our next generation H4 platform. HD Pro series cameras were demonstrated at the Intersec 2014 tradeshow in Dubai and it is anticipated that they will begin shipping in Q2 2014.

**The image quality of the HD Pro camera series is made possible by Avigilon’s new H4 platform, with the latest edition of Avigilon’s proprietary HDSM technology, HDSM 2.0. HDSM 2.0 was developed to operate with the H.264 compression standard, simultaneously providing users with high-resolution imaging performance, further bitrate reduction of H.264 and the intelligence and flexibility of HDSM. This technology pairing provides a unique and superior network performance over systems solely utilizing H.264 compression, allowing for greater processing power, increased frame rate, improved image quality and smarter bandwidth and storage management. The result is high quality, detailed images with minimal network impact.

**In March we introduced ACM 5.0 to our innovative and expanding product portfolio. The addition of ACM 5.0 marks the completion of the operational integration of RedCloud Security, Inc. (“RedCloud”), acquired by Avigilon in May 2013. Easy to use, ACM 5.0 achieves a high level of scalability and flexibility, enabling the system to grow with organizational needs. Built on an open architecture, the secure, web-based technology allows organizations to effectively manage security across multiple sites from any location around the world, enabling organizations to conveniently manage access to facilities from a single platform. To simplify deployment and management of permissions, ACM seamlessly integrates with Active Directory, many HR databases and any other IT and logical security systems.

**At ISC West in April 2014 we launched ACC 5.2. With ACC 5.2, organizations can seamlessly migrate from ACC 4.12 or earlier versions of ACC 5.0 and keep large and distributed locations more secure with the following new features: o the cross-site user and groups feature enables system administrators to designate security permissions to multiple sites at once, greatly increasing the integrity, speed and efficiency of their system deployment; o private bookmarks enable system administrators to designate footage as confidential so they can help maintain confidentiality of sensitive material; o alarm escalation allows organizations to set time-sensitive alerts according to priority, ensuring that alerts are addressed and appropriately escalated; and o the Pick Site-View Location feature increases system set-up speed to allow new items to be added with the appropriate permissions in a designated location.


Revenue by Geographic Region Three months ended           March 31            March 31                % 
($ 000's)                                                 2014                2013                  Growth      
Canada                                                    4,111               2,811                  46% 
United States                                             28,363              16,932                 68% 
United Kingdom                                            4,703               2,576                  83% 
EMEA                                                      13,143              7,175                  83% 
Asia Pacific                                              3,224               1,510                  114% 
Latin America                                             2,206               1,023                  116% 
Total revenues                                            55,750              32,027                 74%

1Q 2014 Conference call

Brad Bardeau was the cfo and is now gone. Brad Bardeau had health problems and the new cfo will be Wan Jung. Wan Jung was the first cfo and one of the original founders. He is currently on the board of directors. Quarterly sales now equal the total sales in 2011 when they went public. On March 17th, 2014 the company issued 3.5 million shares at $29 dollars per share for gross proceeds of 100 million dollars in case they want to make some strategic acquisitions.
Wan Jung the Cfo stated that sales costs are going up because they are ramping up their sales crew.
This is one of the fastest growing companies in the industry. They have been saying that they will hit a 500 million run rate by 2016 and the CEO thinks they will beat that.
They have doubled the development team in the last year. Inventory is up substantially to over 10 million from last quarter. The CEO states that it is a replenishment of Q4 which is one of the better quarters. Quarter 2 and quarter 4 are the highest growth quarters. The CEO is very excited about the video analytics acquisition that they have recently made.

Avigilon Investor Presentation July 2014

In 2012 the market was 12.6 billion and by 2016 they expect the market will be 23.2 billion. The market for Analog cameras has been flat and they expect it to stay that way in the future. While Digital cameras are growing. They make all of their equipment in Richmond, B.C., Canada. The Key benefits they see versus off shore manufacturing are higher quality control, innovations brought to the market faster, and more secure protection of Intellectual property.

Their 2014 goals are to expand sales reach, build brand awareness, and accelerate innovations.

Board of Directors

ALEXANDER FERNANDES Chairman Founder, President & CEO, Avigilon
LARRY BERG Former President & CEO, Vancouver Airport Authority
HARRY JAAKO President, Discovery Capital Management Corp Director, TMX Group
WAN JUNG Interim Avigilon CFO
BRUCE MARGINSON Founder & President, Fusion Security Inc.
MURRAY TEVLIN Founding Partner, TevlinGleadle Employment Law Strategies

Conclusion:

This company is growing very fast and with a market of 23.2 billion by 2016 I think they will continue to grow. They are building out their sales team to continue their growth plans. With Revenue up 74% QoQ and 77% YoY they are a high growth company. Their Gross Profits are up 95% QoQ and 96% YoY. Their Net Income was up an amazing 186% QoQ and their EPS was up 157%. The one thing that brings up a red flag is their inventory and Free Cash flow. Their inventory has been going up the last 6 quarters. I can imagine that it would be hard to know exactly how much inventory you would need when you are growing this fast. Although this quarter it was up a whopping 67%, which would make any investor nervous, the CEO states that they needed to ramp up inventory because they needed to ramp up after the sell off of product in Q4. If you remember Q2 and Q4 are their biggest quarters so we should see revenues keep growing fast with this much inventory. As far as Cash Flow goes they have made a couple of recent acquisitions which has caused their cash flow to go negative and their cash on hand to go down. But with the recent equity offering where they were able to raise 100 million dollars they should be able to acquire more companies without hurting their financials. This company plans on growing with strategic acquisitions and organic growth. They dropped recently because people were nervous because of all the turnover in upper management. The CfO left because of health reasons but there was no word why the others left. Whether it was greener pastures or friction at the top I think it doesn’t matter. Because after these people left it still didn’t hurt the growth of this company. This is a very easy company to understand and is one of my highest conviction stocks. The symbol is AIOCF on Over the counter or AVO on the Toronto stock exchange.

Any questions or criticism will be extremely helpful.

Andy
Long Aiocf

14 Likes

Thanks Andy, Very nice post.

Saul

Thanks Saul, what are your thoughts on the company Saul? Looks like it has some good growth ahead of it.

Andy

Here is a little more color on this company Saul. Some of this is information that we all already know.

A little more color on the company.

he manufacturing of security systems is in a very fragmented industry, the two largest companies have less than 10% of the market. Vast amount of camera’s are analog and with the digital camera you can zoom in and pan camera. With analog that is impossible. The big growth is coming in HD cameras and Internet Protocol systems. You can watch any camera from a desktop anywhere. Avigilon has designed their own system from the camera all the way up to the recording system, app’s for phones, and management system all designed for hd service. In the surveillance industry most companies either do software or hardware. There are a few that do both and Avigilon is one of them. The one thing about Avigilon is that they will incorporate the analog cameras into their system. So if you have older cameras and want to keep them for now you can integrate them into the Avigilon system and replace them at your leisure. They have proprietary technology which is called HDSM and what this allows them to do is to compress video and send it across the internet and store it with less bandwidth.

They have their own manufacturing plant in B.C. They invested in manufacturing automation which allows them to keep labor costs in manufacturing down to 3 to 4 percent of Cost of Goods. This allows them to compete with off shore manufactures and they do sell into China. Since they do both hardware and software, and software adds very little to cogs, they are able to sell their product at a lower price without having to mark the product up to much.

The way they sell their product is they have a global network of resellers (2000 at this time). They manage their channel so that other sellers do not compete against each other. Unlike other security camera companies, that allow people to sell on the internet or through distribution which lowers the price of their product by commoditizing it. With the competitors, the end user can bypass the distributors and get whole sale pricing. Which makes it very hard for the competitors to maintain their margins.

The cost of a security system comes with the cabling of every camera, the brackets for every camera, the manpower to place every camera and the software to run every camera. So the cameras are 10 to 20 percent of the total system. Avigilon can replace 95 of the old vga cameras with 1 29mp, This allows enormous cost savings. They can cover a site as big as Rogers centre with a mere 10 cameras at a cost of approximately 200 thousand dollars. http://www.bbtix.com/toronto-blue-jays-tickets.php. Each of these cameras take a screen so with a site as big as Rogers centre, in order to cover the whole area with VGA cameras you would need 1000 screens and 1000 cameras. With Avigilon’s system you could do it with 10 screens and 10 camera’s.

Avigilon turned a profit their second year of sales. They are not only profitable but they are the fastest growing company in Canada. Avigilon’s product is mainly a commercial product. Although you could use it at your home, it would be over kill unless you live on an Estate. An individual would most likely go with a cheaper model. But for commercial use Avigilon’s product is superior because of its digital products and the ability to pan and zoom your cameras. They also have the ability to mount a camera and with their system it will read the license plates of cars as they pass by. With this being a very fragmented industry, Avigilon has room to grow. They plan on being the largest video surveillance security company. In 2011 they stated they planned on having a Revenue run rate of 500 million by 2016 and at the rate they are growing right now they will beat that.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e58L091Akqg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lJX6A6ansic
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sI5FVkyMzcA

Andy

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what are your thoughts on the company (Avigilon) Saul?

Hi Andy, My thoughts on Avigilon haven’t changed. In my end of the month list of my stocks I wrote:

Then six “average” size positions… I like them all. They just haven’t had a chance to grow into bigger positions yet.

I certainly still like Avigilon. Its position, providing end to end solutions in the HD security market, gives it a good position in a growing market. I expect it to do well. Thanks for your great research on it, and thanks to whoever it was who first recommended it on this board.

Saul

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Thanks Saul I appreciate your insight.

Andy

Andy,

Fantastic post. Anyone reading this will run to their bank and get some more money to invest in AIOCF, just like I intend to do with this little pullback today.
Mykie
PS what kind of PE do you think they can have and not be considered expensive, given how they are growing and assuming it stays as is?

Thanks Mykie,
If you go back and look at my page post, and start with the 3Q of 2012 you will see that I track the P/E range for each quarter.

So lets look at the range of each quarter. I am going to round the numbers up so it is easier to post.


 P/E       3Q12     4Q12     1Q13     2Q13     3Q13     4Q13     1Q14                                                                    
Range      41-59    53-61    43-56    40-62    33-46    49-59    30-48

With the company sitting now at a P/E of 34.41 (that is what I calculated it at) This is a really good time to buy the stock. I think this stock is cheap. Especially if they keep growing like they are. I hope that answered your question.

Andy

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With the company sitting now at a P/E of 34.41 (that is what I calculated it at) This is a really good time to buy the stock. I think this stock is cheap. Especially if they keep growing like they are. I hope that answered your question.

Andy

Thanks Andy,

Yes that did answer and it’s even cheaper today.

It’s almost hard to believe how fast they are growing and in a fast growing industry.
Mykie

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It’s almost hard to believe how fast they are growing and in a fast growing industry.

I agree Mykie. One thing to remember is that the top two companies only own 10% of the market. Also most companies do not do hardware and software, but Avigilon does. Finally they are selling into the Commercial side of the business not the residential side which helps them with their Margins.

Andy

I agree Mykie. One thing to remember is that the top two companies only own 10% of the market.

Hi Andy,
I doubled my position today and at a slightly better price. Since IB does not handle the AIOCF symbol, I had to do a forex trade first and then buy the stock in CAD. This was a gigantic pain in the A but when all is said and done, with the USD strong, I bought 1.06+ CAD for $1 and in time, I would expect the CAD to regain parity with the USD, giving me an unexpected 6% bump, no matter what the stock does.
FYI
Mykie
PS it’s also not a bad idea to have some of your assets in something other than USD and CAD is a good one and a good price at this time.

Doesn’t ubiquiti (ubnt)carry security hardware ans software?

I don’t know how successful this side of the business is, but the integration with their outside access points looks good for commercial video data transfer.

Iain

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Hello HappyMojo,
You are correct that UBNT carries hardware but it is only the cameras that they carry. They do not have the security software but not to say that they couldn’t in the future. It is possible that they could sell the cameras into the Commercial space but I think of them more as a Residential product. Ubnt’s primary focus is on moving data and that shows with their product line up. Air fiber, switches, routers, wap’s. Though all of these pieces would be useful for moving the data, or video from point a to point b. I hope this helps.

Andy

Thanks Andy.

Ubnt recently announced this software:
http://ir.ubnt.com/releasedetail.cfm?releaseid=847499

They have motion detection, remote management, broadcast to 3rd parties.

What is missing?

Facial detection?

Iain

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Nice Ian its strange they still haven’t posted that under their products on the webpage. Nice Find.

Andy

Thanks Andy.

They give some visibility in their Enterprise page. Love that they are pursuing enterprise with an integrated ecosystem.
http://www.ubnt.com/enterprise/

Used to work on managing data centers and having a centralized, integrated console is very valuable.

I think there are similarities in strategy between ubnt and apple. Apple has a focus on consumer and ubnt has focus on data to the ISP. They are opening up opportunities for businesses to compete with the carriers, and now the ADT type companies, for security. I see security cameras like iPhones without the mobility. :slight_smile: I also saw ubnt focused on smb, but the above link shows them making a professional pitch to enterprise.

I’m at 8% allocation on ubnt, and will go to 10% at the next dip. Will move soon because I’m hopeful of a great quarter and some great new products.

The way ubnt supports their vendors reminds me of the early networking days when Novell gained market share by training and certifying technicins. Microsoft later improved on the model. Cisco also did this with their training. Ubnt could do with expanding their training, but make up for it with their supported forums.

I guess I drank the ubiquiti coolaid. Need to buy the t shirt. :slight_smile:

Iain

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The way ubnt supports their vendors reminds me of the early networking days when Novell gained market share by training and certifying technicins. Microsoft later improved on the model. Cisco also did this with their training. Ubnt could do with expanding their training, but make up for it with their supported forums.

Used to work on managing data centers and having a centralized, integrated console is very valuable.

I work for a Telecommunications company and have worked in multiple fields. (Switch, Carrier, Fiber)

I agree that a centralized, integrated console is valuable but if you compare Avigilon with UBNT you will see that UBNT’s is primitive compared to Avigilon. You just can not compare the two systems.

I think this is actually a better model. Companies are tired of having to send technicians to training and having them certified every two years. (cisco model) With UBNT letting the technicians go out and install it and look up information on the internet I think they will get a lot of Cisco’s customers in the enterprise division. But I don’t think UBNT will get into the larger Corporations like the Cable, Telephone, or data centers. Unless they make a more robust product. But that is ok because I do not think they want to. They have more than enough customers in the enterprise network.

Also after reading their product on security the only place they might compete with Avigilon is on the low end. Avigilon’s product is more robust and UBNT at this time does not have a chance of competing with them in the Mid to large size corporations. On the low end for the Mom and Pop Ubnt’s product will probably win out. I agree that this would be a great product for an ISP to run along with the data products they have.

Andy
long Ubnt and Avigilon

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This is a nice write-up on Avigilon from Value Line. It’s not any new information, but Value Line is an old-line, reliable, information source which adds credibility.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/2314315-finding-underperform…

Saul

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Nice Saul,
I like this company because everyone wants security camera’s these days and Avigilon is playing in the high end of the market so they should be able to grow and keep their margins high, unlike the lower end of the market ie Residential.

Andy

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