Is this a compelling entry point for INST?

I guess my thoughts would be:

- No longer founder-owned. One left operational role for family (medical) issues – understandable; the other was, I suppose, a “time to get a real CEO” move (??), which may also be OK in the grand scheme.

Don’t care about insider ownership. Their leadership has them winning and they seem to be operating great.

- Revenue growth decreasing last 4 quarters

Yes, but that’s why the PS is 7.

- Many other competitors in the marketplace (Blackboard probably being the most well-known)

Yes, but Canvas is destroying Blackboard and everyone. Instructure’s win rates are incredible.

- Increasing income losses QoQ w/ most recent earnings, and guiding for lower than expected (thus, the stock price drop into the high $37/low $38 range whereas before earnings it was in the $47 range)

GAAP Net Loss has hovered around $12m for as many quarters as I can remember. If you want to say they’re not making progress, that’s entirely reasonable. That was Saul’s take, actually. But here’s mine:


**Gross Profit Growth**
Mar 2017: 53%
Jun 2017: 48%
Sep 2017: 42%
Dec 2017: 36%
Mar 2018: 40%
Jun 2018: 31%

**OpEx Growth**
Mar 2017: 25%
Jun 2017: 22%
Sep 2017: 27%
Dec 2017: 22%
Mar 2018: 24%
Jun 2018: 20%

That’s a trend that I think will play out well over time.

Bear

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