Between 1993 and 2008, Russia’s population saw a considerable decline in its population from 148.37 million to 143.25. During this time, Russia experienced low birth rates and abnormally high death rates. Since then, the population has increased again to 145.93 million; however, the population is expected to reach its peak at the end of 2020 and is projected to start declining again.
Russia has one of the lowest fertility rates in the world of 1.58 births per woman, which is also below the replacement rate of 2.1 births per woman. Russia also has one of the oldest populations in the world with an average age of 40.3 years. Further contributing to Russia’s population decline is a low level of immigration.
While projections into the future of Russia are very difficult, it’s estimated that Russia will fall from the 9th most populous country to 17th by 2050. Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin has announced that he plans to boost Russia’s dwindling population by encouraging immigration and higher birth rates, but estimates show that Russia’s population will drop from 2014’s 142 million to only 128 million by 2050.
1 Bulgaria 22.5% (who I note has already lost 2MM, or 22%, since their peak in the mid 80s)
2 Lithuania 22.1%
3 Latvia 21.6%
4 Ukraine 19.5%
5 Serbia 18.9%
6 Bosnia and Herzegovina 18.2%
7 Croatia 18.0%
8 Moldova 16.7
Russia is “encouraging immigration” by kidnapping Ukrainians and taking them into Russia. No word on whether they ever intend to return them. Russia has a history of forcibly moving populations around against their will.
Voluntary immigration to Russia? Who would be desperate enough to do that?
There is certainly something very undesirable about living (and breeding) in the countries in and around the Eastern Block.
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I do not know why you skip over big countries like Japan, Italy, and Portugal. Low fertility rates in Japan and Italy.
Japan
Japan’s population is projected to lose 20.7 million people between 2020 and 2050. The population is expected to shrink from 126.5 million to 105.8 million, a 16.3% decline. Japan’s population has been falling since 2011 due to very low fertility rates (1.42 births per woman) and an aging population.
Portugal
The Portuguese population is projected to decline from 10.2 million to 9.1 million over the next three decades, a 10.9% decline. Portugal has made attempts to lure back those who emigrated, whether or not they are highly paid or highly skilled.
Italy
Italy’s population is projected to shrinking by 10.1% from 2020 to 2050. The current population of 60.5 million people will reduce to 54.4 million over the next 30 years. Births are at an all-time low since the unification of Italy and young people are leaving Italy to other European countries for job opportunities.
I listed 1-8. I didn’t skip over 9, 17, or 20. By your logic, you apparently skipped over 84.
Although far be it for me to interpret Jaak’s own reasons for drawing attention to #s 9, 17, and 20, he may have thought you omitted #s 9-20 for some reason other than format? Your link to the map and discussion does say “Top 20 Countries with the Fastest Population Decline 2020-2050 (United Nations 2019)”, but only eight were listed in the post. I was curious to see what the others were, too.
But there’s something extremely weird going on in the Gulf states- Kuwait, Oman, UAE sand Saudi Arabia
Most every other country sees rough parity in gender distribution.
Perhaps not all females are being counted in the Gulf states??
That may be part of it, but I think they may be counting “guest workers” as part of the total population. The guest workers are predominantly male, and in the age groups showing the overbalance. Virtually all jobs in construction, maintenance etc are younger foreign males.
drab…who has been a “guest worker” in Qatar, UAE, Oman and Saudi.