Don’t forget that this thread started with OP saying “I am 13.5% down. For me this is huge.”
Clearly we are off on a tangent. The OP wasn’t focused on beating the market.
I don’t think it’s a tangent at all–OP wanted some suggestions, and is clearly rattled by losing 13.5%, so it’s probably not going to be a good substitute to have a higher-possible-upside alternative that has a much higher possible downside that requires one to hold onto or lose big. Or if it’s a tangent, it’s one that the board would be interested in.
How long have you been beating the market in leveraged funds?
Good question. At least 9 years off and on. I don’t have access to statements older than the last seven years but it would not surprise me if it dates back to 2009 or 2010. I changed jobs in October of 2008 and rolled a 401k to an IRA. That was the first time I had enough cash that I felt it made since to start picking my own stocks - and that included index investing.
I checked UPRO to see what its loss was 12/2/2007 to 3/1/2009, and it didn’t show up in yahoo.finance.com in that time period, so maybe it wasn’t available. Same with TQQQ. They both appear to start in 2009/2010. QLD lost 80.53% in that time '07 - '09 period. Yikes!