I’ve been surprised that my portfolio is thriving with the Israel-Iran War – and I don’t own any oil or defense stocks.
Big winners for me over the past month have been Corning and Avis Rental Car – both stocks I’ve owned for 25 years or more. Together they now make up about 30% of the portfolio.
intercst
The revision to the 4Q25 real GDP growth rate turned out was .5%
Things are going to hell fast from here. The war is not the issue. Not much anyway. Mismanagement and tariffs are the issue.
Crazy. Didn’t think I was - too much Berkshire and it’s down a few percent. Just checked the port and yep, all time high.
War is good for business, I guess.
S&P500 earnings estimates for the 1st quarter are at $65.54, while they rise to $81.38 for the 4th quarter. If so, it would be up 24%.
DB2
I am down about 2.4% from my ATH, made earlier this year. I am currently up 2.5% for the year, and at one point was up 5%. I believe the S&P 500 is flat for the year.
Isn’t Avis kind of a Meme stock? Short squeeze?
Up 20% in January, then it dropped to -5% ytd then the last 2 days it zoomed me up to 10% ytd and still climbing.
I am swing trading Wpr101’s portfolio over on Saul’s. I will explain it if you really want. I am actually higher ytd than Wpr101.
I am so grateful to Motley Fool Community Forums and especially Wp101 and his generosity.
I really am quite challenged in understanding the stock market. Very grateful Slob I am!
The MoneySlob!
I did blow it in January when I was at 20%. I was traveling and failed to instigate a trailing stop or 2 and that bit me. Further affirmation that I might jave stumbled on something. Only probably for this place and time in the stock market. Trump, etc, group of stocks that suffer the same volatility based on “world” events.
(oh look, it’s up to 11.2% now. Better ger done with this bike ride and stick in the stops)
It’s a low float stock, (i.e., few shares outstanding) so it doesn’t take much to cause a short squeeze.
But if you’ve been a LTB&H investor over the past 15 years you’ve done well.
intercst.
I’m at an all time high. Primarily an infrastructure and moat kind of investor. One vertically integrated oil company, couple pipelines, LNG exporter, industrial REIT, railroad, to name a few. And these are companies that I’ve held for years, not just on a recent whim.
I am on the sidelines for over two years now.
Hope none of you have round trips. But this is lake woobegone where all the kids are higher IQ.
This Guardian article from 3 months ago is interesting. Their stats have all been revised downward long after the party.
But things did not turn out as anticipated. It is possible that consumer price inflation (CPI) did not rise at all: the most recently reported rate, for the 12 months ending in November, is 2.7% – the same level as in the closing months of 2024. (Of course, the price level is higher, contrary to Trump’s claims.) The unemployment rate rose only a little, from 4.1% at the end of 2024 to 4.6% in November. Economic growth probably slowed toward the end of the year, but the situation remains unclear, because a US government shutdown delayed data collection.