" You are going to lose a lot of money if you keep this up.
The best performing asset class of the last 100 years is the small-cap-value stocks. Its average annual return is about 14%. You are far better off putting your money into an ETF that tracks that segment. IJS is one such ETF.
Your portfolio is -11% YTD. IJS is up 16%. You are 27% behind!"
I am not sure that that is fair or accurate. Firstly past performance is absolutely not a guarantee of future success and there is nothing that says that small cap value is the place to be going forward.
Secondly you seem to be implying that anyone that YTD is not up 16% would have been better off in IJS - Saul included.
I think that Bears portfolio is risky and needs fine tuning but I take my hat off to him. By posting his success and mistakes not only do we get to learn but hopefully he is learning as well and with time will refine his process into something more successful. I get the impression that he is young and therefore has many years to refine and improve his technique and see what works and what doesn’t. As long as he is open to new ideas and processes a couple of bad years will not hamper his long term success.