China shakes Asia-Pacific w/ Solomon Isl.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/20/world/australia/china-sol…

**Why a Chinese Security Deal in the Pacific Could Ripple Through the World**

**In potentially opening the door to a Chinese military base, the Solomon Islands threatens the balance of power in a vital shipping region.**

**By Damien Cave, The New York Times, April 20, 2022**

**...**
**The prime minister of the Solomon Islands, Manasseh Sogavare, has shaken his own democracy and the stability of the entire Asia-Pacific region by signing a sweeping security agreement with China. Having already suggested that he wants to delay next year’s election by rewriting the constitution, the prime minister now has China to lean on if protests break out. At the same time, China’s leader, Xi Jinping, and his army now have a foothold in an island chain that played a decisive role in World War II and could be used to block vital shipping lanes....**

**In the draft, almost anything tied to China, from its citizens to small businesses to infrastructure to stadiums — like the one a Chinese contractor is building in the capital, Honiara — could be enough to spur a request for Chinese troops....**

**In a poll late last year, more than 90 percent of Solomon Islanders said they wanted their country to work closely with liberal democratic countries instead of China, and 79 percent said they did not want their country receiving financial aid from China....** [end quote]

China has projects all over the world. China has workers and a diaspora scattered all over the world.

Russia’s pretext for invading Ukraine was supposedly protection of Russian speakers from Ukrainian genocide.

If China adopts a similar pretext, it would have an excuse to ship Chinese military might in any country where Chinese nationals are supposedly threatened.

Any dictator (or would-be dictator) with Chinese projects could invite in Chinese troops, supposedly to protect Chinese interests but actually to defend the dictatorship.

This obscure pact, which probably won’t make the TV news, has the potential to have tremendous Macroeconomic and world defense implications.

Wendy

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This news which has been around in the press for about month hinges on a few things.

Will China be able to afford infrastructure and military bases as they engage supply side econ? Over time less and less as the US found out, but the US began from a much more powerful wealthy place.

Will wars be fought with conventional weapons v cyber wars? Really the question is will any of China’s computer hardware and software on board ships, airplanes, satellites etc…be secured in a military engagement? As of now no and neither is ours. Intel foundries are about changing that in the west going forward.

In potentially opening the door to a Chinese military base, the Solomon Islands threatens the balance of power in a vital shipping region.

Wendy,

This is a very, very big deal. Dangerous and historically important.

Let’s hope that US, European, Australian, Japanese, Korean, and Indian members of the international community are more awake this time than they were when China started dredging and transforming South China Sea sandbars into mile-long military airstrips, bomber launch points, and submarine bases.

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Fareed Zakaria, in his April 19 newsletter posed:
https://view.newsletters.cnn.com/messages/16504096814704deef…
What China Can Learn From Russia’s War

that Russian forces’ difficulties in Ukraine have reinforced lessons already learned by Beijing, which under President Xi Jinping has sought to improve its military’s command-and-control structures and to integrate more-sophisticated weaponry.

China has also sought to make its economy and currency less vulnerable to Western sanctions, Mastro and Scissors write,

A poster here on TMF commented that the West has to get Russia out of the way, ie engage Russia directly, and destroy Russia’s ability to be a super power.

This will enable us to step up to the next threat: China.

Today’s 20 year Olds and younger, live in interesting times.

:alien:
ralph

Ralph,

One part of me says yep go in and fight on the ground. But that is not a winning strategy. We all know nukes would go off.

The strategy playing out now arming the Ukrainians better and better along with cutting off Russian fossil fuels will win. Nothing Putin can about it. At the end of the day the Russians will smell blood and murder the runt of Moscow.

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Let’s hope that US … are more awake this time than they were when China started dredging and transforming South China Sea sandbars into mile-long military airstrips, bomber launch points, and submarine bases.

This was the deal for China to keep its mouth shut after USAF shot down MH370 near Saigon, no?

Just another reason to bring manufacturing back to USA soil.

JLC

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