If the government does not close down I will admit it.
If a close down is not very significant in the first month or two I will admit it.
I have no problem being wrong and admitting it. I am among the very rare people you will meet online who readily admit when he is wrong.
You are wrong right now. You want to admit it? Would you? Or would you go about your business as if your blank is good on the internet?
You are wrong because you do not know if I am wrong in the future.