Elon Musk at G20 Meeting-- all software jobs gone in next 18 months

I am coding with Claude these days. Claude doing the editing. There is no way for that to happen. Tells me Elon is talking out his neather region.

1 Like

You have listed few things… does he own any patents on the below? Like I said he identified critical problems, then brought together teams. He didn’t invent anything specifc.

6 Likes

Musk doesn’t tend patent very much. He’s been generous in that way. I don’t define innovator in as limited of a way as you do. Sometimes, it’s the person that has the vision and builds the team and business that executes it. Sometimes, it’s just improving on a process or product.

I’m guessing if we surveyed a 100 people and asked them to name their top 5 innovators, Musk is probably a name mentioned a majority of the time.

1 Like

The word innovator has a definition. Of course I call my kid as ā€œinnovativeā€ when he tries to scam me some money for his pizza, but that doesn’t make him an innovator.

2 Likes

Because he didn’t invent anything, at least ā€œfirst inventionsā€ā€¦ all those technologies, rockets, lithium-ion batteries, EV, and neural interface all predates him.

He is exceptionally good, in finding exceptional talent, systems integration, capital raise, and allocation, and to some degree bringing cost down and delivering results. On delivering results many have different views but Colossus is an example of him delivering on accelerated pace.

I will give all of the above. But he also has fair share of failures.

5 Likes

In a business context, we would call that fraud. When my child does it, I call it creative manipulation. What can I say, the G20 held a 2 day Innovation ministerial. They chose to have Musk, among other ā€œinnovatorsā€, speak. I am assuming it’s for some pertinent reason related to the topic of innovation.

It’s okay recognize his contributions whether you like him personally or detest him. We can separate a person’s accomplishments from the other aspects, with which one might rightly disagree. Steve Jobs was in many ways not a great human being. I can still appreciate his achievements.

Almost all the great innovators and pioneers had a long list of failures that preceded their eventual success. It’s not a flaw but evidence of persistence.

The difference is they were real innovators, and their path to innovation is to fail… you keep trying until you succeed. Musk is basically a business guy with an engineering background. My quibble is not with him but calling him as innovator.

1 Like

I’m looking at it and it goes round and round. It’s like a circle. The over $2 trillion backlog of hyperscalers is artificially pumped up by self dealing. $200 billion+ contracts are being passed around like a blunt and RPOs are flying higher than a kite.

2 Likes

First off, Musk doesn’t have a background in engineering, which makes it all that much more remarkable. He has a BA in Economics and Physics.

MUSK’s Role in the early development of SPACE X.

  1. Technical Oversight: Rather than acting solely as an investor or manager, Musk serves as chief engineer, deeply involving himself in hardware, vehicle architecture, and design decisions. [1, 2]
  2. Hands-on Problem Solving: He worked alongside early engineering hires—such as propulsion lead Tom Mueller—to develop the Merlin engine and structure the Falcon 1, Falcon 9, and Starship programs. [1, 2]

Forbes Ranking: In February 2026, Forbes ranked Elon Musk No. 1 on its inaugural list of America’s 250 Greatest Innovators.

Not true. The RPO is real, not self dealing but unlike the past cloudera RPO, these are at significant risk, because bulk of the RPO are from OpenAI and Anthropic.

It’s sooo very true.

"At its simplest, circular financing describes a deal structure in which a chipmaker or hyperscaler takes an equity stake in, or extends credit to, an AI lab or neocloud provider, and that same company then commits to multi-year purchases of chips or computing power from the firm that just funded it. The money moves in a loop: invest, then buy back, then invest again.

Circular financing is not illegal, and it is not new. Wall Street has seen versions of this for decades, including vendor financing during the telecom boom in the late 1990s, when equipment makers lent money to buyers so those buyers could afford to buy more equipment. What is new, however, is the unprecedented scale of these deals in the AI sector."

4 Likes

OK believe what you want… Here is one data point, Amazon, specifically AWS has participated in 3 round of anthropic funding, for a total of $13 B. Anthropic has 10 year $100 B commitment to use AWS data center and amazon chips.

There are folks who scream that is circular investment, OTOH, someone like me may view that as tech companies investing in a hot technology startup and of course establishing relationship with those companies who will become their big customers.

For context AWS RPO sits at $496 B. There are various risk associated with the RPO’s and whether Anthropic, OpenAI can execute on those contracts needs to be seen, but just dismissing it all as circular financing is lazy.

To clarify - I’m not suggesting the deals aren’t real, or the RPOs are fake. I’m suggesting that the circular nature of the deals artificially pumps up enterprise demand. Future revenues for the hyperscalers are being counted once, twice, three times maaaybe. Also, hyperscalers’ RPOs are tied so tightly together, that any shock to the system will ripple through it in potentially devasting ways. Also, also, as you mentioned, 50% of the hyperscalers’ RPOs are coming from 2 unprofitable companies.

4 Likes

A perfectly articulated statement about the essence of the real task of high end ā€œprogrammingā€ā€¦.and management, and what was anciently and still is called ā€œcraftmanshipā€.

5 Likes

A mechanical engineering program is physics.

Not an innovator but yet. . .

Forbes Ranking: In February 2026, Forbes ranked Elon Musk No. 1 on its inaugural list of America’s 250 Greatest Innovators.

Forbes thought Trump’s networth was high when he lied about it to them.

1 Like

are you landing 20 story buildings?

I am not impressed by someone who goes bankrupt.

I am impressed by someone who goes bankrupt four times.