# Futures traders betting on 1% at July meeting

**URL:** <https://discussion.fool.com/t/futures-traders-betting-on-1-at-july-meeting/72521>\
**Category:** Macro Economic Trends and Risks\
**Created:** [July 13, 2022, 11:05pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/futures-traders-betting-on-1-at-july-meeting/72521 "2022-07-13T23:05:26Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 3\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![rainphakir](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/rainphakir/32/1497_2.png) [@rainphakir](https://discussion.fool.com/u/rainphakir)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2022, 11:05pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/futures-traders-betting-on-1-at-july-meeting/72521/1 "2022-07-13T23:05:26Z")

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_Traders are betting the Fed could raise interest rates by 1% this month_  
[https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/13/traders-bet-the-fed-could-ra…](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/13/traders-bet-the-fed-could-raise-interest-rates-by-1percent-this-month.html)

_After June’s super hot consumer inflation report, traders in the futures market immediately began to bet the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates by as much as 1% later this month._

👽  
ralph

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**Author:** ![Leap1](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/leap1/32/72176_2.png) [@Leap1](https://discussion.fool.com/u/Leap1)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2022, 11:13pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/futures-traders-betting-on-1-at-july-meeting/72521/2 "2022-07-13T23:13:14Z")

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Possible quickening of the tumble in real estate could accelerate on this news.

That 1% hike is seen in the futures will put a lot more pressure on commodities including oil.

Expect the USD to continue appreciating.

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**Author:** ![bjurasz](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/bjurasz/32/7233_2.png) [@bjurasz](https://discussion.fool.com/u/bjurasz)\
**Post date:** [July 14, 2022, 11:16am UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/futures-traders-betting-on-1-at-july-meeting/72521/3 "2022-07-14T11:16:16Z")

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This seems like a solid bet to me, given this:

[https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/14/fed-governor-waller-says-hes…](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/14/fed-governor-waller-says-hes-open-to-larger-rate-hike-this-month-than-in-june.html)

The Fed is practically saying “+1% in July” without actually saying it. They want to hit the brakes harder.

House across the street, up for sale for 3 weeks now, just got a price cut. Small, but still. No offers, price cut. A few others in the neighborhood have done this as well. As little as 2-3 months ago homes would sell for $50-100k over ask around me.

Real estate is cooling. Gasoline is dropping. GDP looks to be shrinking. Over the past 30 days tech and growth stocks are out-performing value stocks.

And then we have this: “ARK’s Wood says Fed is making a ‘mistake’, sees stocks bottoming”

[https://stocks.apple.com/Av1jNMJMUSleM4KfRwwXElw](https://stocks.apple.com/Av1jNMJMUSleM4KfRwwXElw)

I’ve lost the ability to foresee what will happen anymore.