GTLS

I sold out of my entire GTLS position between December and February at prices between $102 down to $82. It turns out to have been a good decision. They just reported declining revenue, adjusted earnings of 41 cents, down from 54 cents (and expectations of 65 cents) and cut their annual revenue and earnings estimates.

This was the third quarter report in a row that they reduced estimates or had disappointing earnings, or both.

Saul

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Saul,

Your timing is incredible. My cost basis is $112 and I’ve been optimistic that the US will eventually allow exports of LNG…especially now that Europe may see supply interruptions from Russia. I just wonder how long this will take and when it will translate into increased earnings for GTLS. Maybe I’m better off redeploying my capital into companies that I know are growing EPS rapidly (buy more SYNA and UBNT).

Saul,
I agree with GauchoChris, your timing continues to prove impeccable. (I’m enjoying the AFOP ride along with you!) I believe it is based on your expertise, acquired through diligent research and applied through consistent philosophy, not ‘dumb-luck’, ‘good-guessing’, or ‘serendipity’.

I purpose to develop similar skills and principles. Regretfully, I have not done so yet and I am still holding GTLS (down 25-30%). I am definitely LTBH, sometimes to a fault; like you referenced in your post about no selling strategy. I do believe that 5-10 years out GTLS will be a profitable investment. Should I wait that long? I am still a novice, but learning. Most importantly, I am getting my kids started early, but naturally their accounts are small, few hundreds to couple thousands. Wondering if I should build their base with Cokes, GEs, KinderMorgans, and the like then diversify into the more aggressive small caps, or should I grow the base by tapping into one or two aggressive small caps and invest on shorter time lines? I don’t know just writing as I’m thinking here…

Very glad you (and the other regular contributors on this board) are members of The Fooldom.
KLVanLiew

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Weekly…http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GTLS&p=W&yr=0&m…

Daily…http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GTLS&p=D&yr=0&m…

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GTLS&p=D&b=4&g=… got the message loud and clear way back in November.

Can’t show the monthly, but very impressinve to the positive side from July 2013 to January 2014 for a ripping 442.625 percent profit. Freaking amazin.

Please read the following at your leisure at a way Swing Traders making a living with simplicity after doing some strong Fundamental analysis before pulling the trigger in following what our peers have said at whata they are doing.

These charts with the two (2) very very simple rules, that I think, will NEVER EVER EVER FAIL. Going forward you shall never lose a dyme again.

http://discussion.fool.com/grasshoppers-i-see-that-you-are-doing…

Best regards,

Quillnpenn - I can smell the pencils smokin now :o) and enjoy the journey to successful trades going forward.

another thought to ponder to making some serious coins.

While trading using the Tetter Totter principle https://encrypted-tbn1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcShsCfA… only 2x and 3x charts, we shall always be on the positive side

re: TBT, TBF / TLT per the GREEN BAR - RED BAR rules.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TBT&p=W&yr=0&mn… :o( had to sell
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TBF&p=W&yr=0&mn… :o( had to sell

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TLT&p=W&yr=0&mn… :o)) Happy New Year. Not to shabby.

KLVanLiew,

NO coke, NO fries man, buy PEP

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=PEP&p=W&yr=0&mn…

Best regards,

Quillnpenn - your kids will thank you.

Quillnpenn -

I’m not that familar with charting put if today is a buy signal for PEP wouldn’t Nov 11th also have been?

I’m interested in learning how your buy/sell timing works.

Eric

eric,

Please go back to message numba 1068 for it will explain in detail on how it werks.

Best regards,

Quillnpenn -

http://discussion.fool.com/gtls-31230380.aspx?sort=whole#3123105… or scroll up a few mesages and ejoy the journey. :o)

Most importantly, I am getting my kids started early, but naturally their accounts are small, few hundreds to couple thousands. Wondering if I should build their base with Cokes, GEs, KinderMorgans, and the like then diversify into the more aggressive small caps, or should I grow the base by tapping into one or two aggressive small caps and invest on shorter time lines? I don’t know just writing as I’m thinking here…

Hi KLVan Lieu, the following is just my opinions:

You should think, what would my kids be excited about learning about, a dynamic growth stock or a stock that is like watching wall paper dry.

Another issue is what kind of stocks you like to invest in and would be interested in teaching them about.

Finally, since they are young, they can invest in adventurous stocks, with small amounts of money, and if one of the stocks goes bust it’s a cheap learning experience for them.

As you can see, I lean towards growth stocks for your kids, even if they sometimes go down, but it is your choice, not mine!

Best,

Saul

3 Likes

Quill,

Why? Reading charts is not my strength. More directly, it means nothing to me. Not because the charts mean nothing, but because I have no knowledge base. PEP is up and down over last year ending up with +5% or so. Over 2 years it is up nearly 30%. Has a decent 2.6% divi. All/Part in for PEP? 5, 10, 15, 20 year time-line?

KLVanLiew

Saul,

Thanks for your input. I hear you and think I have settled in somewhere in the middle. Trying to teach, and certainly have more to both teach and learn. They have a diversification with some of each. I know it is my decision, however I do value your input. Thinking about more ‘aggression’ and shorter term investing (read 3, 6, 9, 12 month) timelines to ‘pocket’ the increases. However, I do not want to develop a ‘trader’s’ or ‘gambler’s’ mentality for myself or foster it in my kids. Started one off early, back around $40, in TSLA. Still an awesome gain there. Should I have taken some/all out and re-allocated? Started another off early in DDD and BOFI. Had awesome gains and now have good gains over a 1± year timeline. Many other ownership positions too. Currently things are turning red. I don’t want to lock the losses in for my kids when I truly expect in the LTBH horizons that most, if not all, will be green.

Here’s to more and bigger winners and fewer and smaller losers.
Respectfully,
KLVanLiew

re: compounding, compounding, compounding

KLVanLiew

http://www.investopedia.com/university/beginner/beginner2.as… werks well after each trade.

very successful

Quillnpenn

Happy Investing!
This has become a very interesting thread.

I had been meaning to ask Saul about GTLS, having seen its downtrend.

When Saul sold around $102, it was the same time that Quillnpenn’s chart said to sell [Nov 2013].

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GTLS&p=W&yr=0&m…

This method is for chartists or swing traders - and most here maybe don’t invest that way, I don’t know.
It’s not for everyone, certainly. Regardless of whether it’s for you or not, it works very profitably for some.

It’s not to the exclusion of fundamental analysis, it’s simply
a different approach to handling your assets.

Swing Traders making a living with simplicity after doing some strong Fundamental analysis before pulling the trigger …

Personally, I’m fascinated and trying to learn.

I’m not that familar with charting but if today is a buy signal for PEP wouldn’t Nov 11th also have been?
I’m interested in learning how your buy/sell timing works.

doublexup -
Quillnpenn didn’t say “today” [30Apr] was a buy signal.
Quite not. Nov 11 was not a buy either; it was the second week of a
strong sell. [Again, according to the chart Quillnpenn linked.]
As he said, watching the green bar-red bar signals. And he emphasizes compounding one’s profits.

Albert Einstein called compound interest “the greatest mathematical discovery of all time”.

[…from the excellent Investopedia article he linked]

For anyone interested, a plain and simple educational base has been laid out here.

Best of the Evening to All.

Just something OT …couldn’t help myself bec Einstein was mentioned…
Einstein also said, “I know not with what weapons WWIII will be fought. But WWIV will be fought with sticks and stones.”

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