How the Iran War Reveals the Extent of Fossil Fuel Propaganda

As oil prices continue to rise in the shadow of the war with Iran, Americans can expect the cost of all kinds of products to slowly increase, according to experts. By Friday, crude oil prices were approaching and for Brent crude exceeding $100 a barrel, with gas prices averaging around $3.91 nationwide, according to AAA.

Those increases will have an impact across the economy, according to Heather Boushey, a professor of practice at the Kleinman Center for Energy Policy at the University of Pennsylvania, but they’ll impact those with low incomes the hardest.

“Oil shocks have historically had an outsized economic impact—one that Americans are already starting to see,” she said.

Boushey emphasized that no sector of the economy is completely immune to oil price increases caused by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Iran. From the price of nitrogen fertilizer that impacts corn prices to the price of shipping that influences costs for all consumer goods, the longer the crisis continues, the greater impact consumers will feel in their pocketbooks, she said.

In the past, fuel price shocks have often led consumers, businesses and governments alike to think more deeply about investments in renewable energy.

“This tends to be a trend when gas prices are going up, that tends to drive more interest in purchasing or leasing electric,” said Alex Jacquez, chief of policy and advocacy at Groundwork Collaborative, a progressive think tank.

Signs of that dynamic are beginning to emerge internationally, Jacquez said, with storefront visits to electric vehicle dealers already increasing in Asia, where price shocks from the Iran war are more pronounced.

So what is holding back a renewable and EV surge across the U.S.? Fossil fuel misinformation may be partly to blame, said Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), the ranking member of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee.

“There is a massive and very concerted campaign in which the Trump administration is a major participant to falsely convince the public that electric vehicles, clean energy are all more expensive,” Whitehouse told Inside Climate News on Friday.

Whitehouse said the suggestion that fossil fuels are cheaper than renewable energy is part of a propaganda strategy to prevent the adoption of energy sources that would diminish the bottom line of Trump’s major donors.

In a statement, a spokesperson for the White House claimed without evidence that green energy sources are “too unreliable and unaffordable” to support America’s energy infrastructure.

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Whitehouse should talk to the people in New York.

‘Hurting peoples’ pocketbooks’: Hochul pushes to pare back landmark climate law
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/03/07/new-york-governor-rethinks-climate-ambitions-00814743?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
New York’s Democratic governor wants to weaken one of the nation’s most ambitious climate laws in the name of affordability. It’s a major shift for Gov. Kathy Hochul, who once championed New York’s climate efforts on a global stage and rejected permits for gas power plants…“There’s going to be enormous costs.”

DB2

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I’m on a renewable energy program with my electric provider in central Texas. I pay virtually the same that fossil fuel customers do. I’m also paying drastically less for transportation in my EV as a result. We really need to find a way to counter the fossil industry propaganda.

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We are seeing the enormous costs of NOT pivoting away from petroleum and natural gas, right now. A cost the fossil fuel industry wishes everyone just ignored.

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There will be enormous costs no matter what we do, pick your poison.

This is the first winter I’ve been extremely worried about climate change. It’s the first year I can remember when it has been both crazy warm, and ridiculously dry in CO.

I made some small talk with someone in the elevator about the weekend. Temperatures we’re creeping close to the high 80s on Saturday. I asked how her weekend was, she commented on it being beautiful Saturday and mentioned, “I guess we’ve got nothing to complain about!” I replied, “not until our houses burn down.”

I guess I’m kinda an eldemonio downer sometimes…

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Humanity, like the children of Hamelin, have been and still are being led down the road to doom by the Pied Piper Petroleum Fetishizing lobbyists.

My moment of visceral terror was years ago when the ancient glaciers of the Sierra Nevada vanished.

Oh yeah, nothing happening.

Meanwhile, Pay Off more insiders and stop wind power developments with billions….

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Lest anyone doubt @eldemonio and temperatures in Colorado. Early last Friday morning and later on in the day. This does not bode well for Summer.

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I’m in Phoenix. We just had the earliest 100F day since they started keeping records. Normally, we hit 100F first week of May (give or take). This year, it was March 18. Six weeks earlier than normal.

Definitely doesn’t bode well. Weather patterns are shifting all over the world. We’ve also been in a drought since 1994. They call this a “long term drought” since it’s lasted more than 30 years.

The only positive from the Iran mess is that as fuel prices go up, alternatives and EVs become more attractive. If it lasts long enough, we could see a major shift in energy preferences in the US. Last time gas prices approached $5, you couldn’t find a Prius to test drive (I tried). They were sold before they hit dealer lots. Gas at the local Costco is $4.45 right now. It was something like $3.15 a month ago.

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With fossil fuels cost rising and clean energy cost falling I think you are making a mountain out of Gov. Kathy Hochul statements. She is not eliminating clean energy goals, she is just slowing them down to meet the current clean energy situation due to Trump Administration fighting clean energy, the war in Iran making natural gas and oil expensive, US exporting massive amounts of natural gas and oil, and the tariffs and the wars around the world.

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You know, there’s a whole nother realm of deception, and that is that the energy transition would be cheap, easy, quick. Seven years ago the politicians of New York passed a climate law, but they were not serious. Perhaps it was just performative.

I’ve been posting occasionally over the last three years or so about the impractical nature of their efforts. Changing the entire energy infrastructure of a civilization is a massive job. It cannot be done on the cheap and easy. Many surveys have shown that people don’t want to pay any non-trivial amounts.

As a general rule, “When policies on emissions reductions collide with policies focused on economic growth, economic growth will win out.”

DB2

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So this is probably a false comparison you are making here. Do you have ANY idea how much it costs to keep the current >70yr old grid cobbled together? How about how much is spent every time a squirrel blows a transformer? (My last place in MO would have a squirrel suicide on the transformer fuse at least three times a year…but they just kept fixing it over and over instead of putting up better/newer.)

How about the fact that we are at a point where parts of the world have ACTUALLY already transformed their systems? We have countries in the world that are 100% fossil fuel free and yet there are still these stories about how hard it is going to be.

I believe that even capitalism is going to figure this out too as data centers push us back toward nuke power…

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Could you reference the countries?

When I search, I only get this. It’s National Geographic, hope it meets @eldemonio approval.

Countries leading the way to 100% renewable electricity

Countries like Denmark, Portugal, Greece, the Netherlands, Germany, Spain, the UK, and Ireland are among those leading the transition to variable renewable energy technologies, primarily wind and solar. Denmark, in particular, has seen wind and solar accounting for 74% of its power output in the first nine months of 2025. Other countries like Chile are also making significant strides, with solar alone making up 40% of the mix. These countries are on track to get more than half of their electricity from wind and solar by 2030, according to the International Energy Agency.

National Geographic

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The “100% fossil fuel free” for every energy need is a bit overblown, but when it comes to electricity generation, there are seven countries currently considered “effectively 100% renewable” in electricity generation, because more than 99.7% of their electricity comes from renewable sources.

Those countries are:

  • Albania (almost entirely hydro)
  • Bhutan (hydro, some solar)
  • Nepal (mostly hydro)
  • Paraguay (overwhelmingly hydro, e.g., Itaipu Dam)
  • Iceland (hydro and geothermal)
  • Ethiopia (primarily hydro)
  • Democratic Republic of Congo (hydro)

Pete

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The cost of the Iran war is like the abusive partner draining the bank account so the other one can’t afford to leave. For the cost of the war we could have had energy independence with alternatives to fossil fuel.

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Welp, I was going to point out places like Iceland, Denmark and some others in that area, but maybe they were only 100% for a set amount of time. Seems they are not “permanently” 100%. (And then I notice how many have hydro as main source and that is very geographically reliant.)

Ok, well we are still getting there so not sure why the idea of it costs to switch is still going around. It costs to stay on very old a** grids.

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Because a) people have to pay the costs to switch and b) some of the plans to switch are not practicable (see New York State as an example) and c) the benefits are often quite small, both in temperature increase averted and practical usage (increased grid instability and things such as the California high-speed rail project).

DB2

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DrBob…I am going to repeat that every thing you are saying exists WITH the current system.

Grid instability - ah yep and this would be MUCH better with battery back-ups for the grid which has been proven in multiple places.

Paying costs - what do you think people are doing now? As things get older we are paying more and more. Every time something fails we are paying to bodge another patch onto an old system. Why not spend to IMPROVE the system instead of propping up something so fragile?

Benefits are small(?) - we are off grid and I watch all my neighbors scramble every time a tree falls or part of the NE grid has weather problems. I rely on my solar system to run my cpap, fridge for other person’s meds, etc. The benefits of having a reliable system are huge in cost of things like medical equipment, working from home, food storage, etc.

Some plans are not practical - this one is so subjective that I don’t have much to add, but the number of huge solar installations in my state are only growing and provide buffer against things like oil price spikes. What you see as impractical is based on the criteria you are using, we all probably use different criteria so I cannot respond to a strawman argument like this.

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Don’t worry, he’ll have the same response as when he complained about government subsidies to help solar and I asked him about spending hundreds of billions on a war to subsidize oil - like now, trying to get the black goo through the Strait of Hormuz.

The answer: [silence]

Yes, it costs to improve the grid. Then again it costs to keep patching the old thing together in spite of improvements and the obvious future of energy. But he, and others in the thinkalike gang would rather keep relying on streetcars instead of building roads for cars, keep pulling ice out of the river for ice boxes instead of manufacturing refrigerators, keep teaching kids how to use an abacus instead of a calculator.

That’s “conservative”, as in “conserve the past”, because what good could preparing for the future possibly do?

William F. Buckley 'A conservative is someone who stands athwart history, yelling Stop, at a time when no one is inclined to do so

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Now, they are paying less. From the New York article linked upthread:

New York’s Democratic governor wants to weaken one of the nation’s most ambitious climate laws in the name of affordability

“There were so many unforeseen factors,” Hochul told reporters on Monday, speaking of the 2019 climate law that set aggressive targets for curbing pollutants. “There’s going to be enormous costs.”…

The memo analyzed a carbon pricing system to achieve the law’s near-term goals and concluded it would increase gasoline prices by $2.23 cents per gallon by 2031 and home heating fuel costs more than $3,000 annually for upstate families.

Yep, indeed.

The effect of renewable energy incorporation on power grid stability and resilience
Smith et al.
https://www.science.org/doi/pdf/10.1126/sciadv.abj6734
Abstract:
It is critical for the function of modern power infrastructure to understand how this increasingly distributed layout affects network stability and resilience. This paper uses dynamical models, household power consumption, and photovoltaic generation data to show how these characteristics vary with the level of distribution. It is shown that resilience exhibits daily oscillations as the grid’s effective structure and the power demand fluctuate. This can lead to a substantial decrease in grid resilience , explained by periods of highly clustered generator output. Moreover, the addition of batteries, while enabling consumer self-sufficiency, fails to ameliorate these problems . The methodology identifies a grid’s susceptibility to disruption resulting from its network structure and modes of operation.

The first key challenge is the intermittency and variability of renewable generation…

The second challenge is that many of these new resources are connected to the grid via power electronic inverters rather than by spinning electromechanical machinery…Therefore, from a dynamic stability point of view, shifting from a dispatchable centralised power system with inherent self-synchronisation to inertia-less inverter-based resources (IBR) means gradually losing system inertia and control mechanisms.

All these issues have resulted in a lack of frequency and voltage management, network congestion, and a deterioration of system adequacy and restoration capabilities.

DB2

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Carbon pricing has NOTHING to do with building a non-fossil based energy system. It is about making people use less fossil based energy. Not even equivalent to what point I think you are making.

Already being addressed, and I mentioned that. Here is a quote from simple search - Stabilizing a photovoltaic (PV) grid-connected system is achieved by managing voltage, frequency, and power fluctuations using smart inverters, battery energy storage systems (BESS), and grid-forming technologies. Key methods include deploying smart inverters to regulate voltage, utilizing batteries for rapid energy smoothing, and implementing synthetic inertia to mimic traditional generators.

And, this is example I was thinking of in previous response - Australia is rapidly deploying large-scale battery energy storage systems (BESS) and grid-forming inverters to stabilize its renewable-heavy power grid, replacing coal-fired generation with storage solutions like the Hornsdale Power Reserve and Waratah Super Battery. These systems provide grid stability, fast frequency response, and backup capacity to millions of homes

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