# Okta - a "groundswell of catalysts"

**URL:** <https://discussion.fool.com/t/okta-a-groundswell-of-catalysts/56152>\
**Category:** Saul’s Investing Discussions\
**Created:** [August 25, 2021, 1:56pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/okta-a-groundswell-of-catalysts/56152 "2021-08-25T13:56:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 5\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![rdutt](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/rdutt/32/3382_2.png) [@rdutt](https://discussion.fool.com/u/rdutt)\
**Post date:** [August 25, 2021, 1:56pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/okta-a-groundswell-of-catalysts/56152/1 "2021-08-25T13:56:05Z")

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Anyone still holding Okta? The stock is jumping 5% today, after Raymond James upgraded it to a Strong Buy, and a PT of $300, saying that Okta has a “groundswell of catalysts”.

I agree. I wrote back in May here that Okta’s acquisition of Auth0 more than _doubles_ its TAM. The stock is up 17% since I wrote that: [https://discussion.fool.com/hi-ant-the-auth0-acquisition-closed-…](https://discussion.fool.com/hi-ant-the-auth0-acquisition-closed-just-3-weeks-34841643.aspx)

Before the acquisition, Okta provided **workforce identity** solutions, with an estimated TAM of $20B. After the acquisition, Okta has solutions for **customer identity** , which adds $30B to the TAM. With total revenue this year projected at $1.3B, they’re just getting _started_ penetrating the market.

When they announce earnings next week Wed (Sep 1), Auth0 will have contributed revenue for the entire quarter, and we’ll get a good idea how the company as a whole is growing. I have a “let winners run” mentality. and haven’t seen any reason to sell my shares, first purchased in Feb 2018 at around $38. That price looks cheap now, but, believe me, as with all SaaS stocks, it looked super-expensive back then from a P/S multiple perspective.

-Ron

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**Author:** ![rmtzp](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/rmtzp/32/14850_2.png) [@rmtzp](https://discussion.fool.com/u/rmtzp)\
**Post date:** [August 25, 2021, 3:29pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/okta-a-groundswell-of-catalysts/56152/2 "2021-08-25T15:29:31Z")

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_I wrote back in May here that Okta’s acquisition of Auth0 more than doubles its TAM. The stock is up 17% since I wrote that_

Rdutt,

Let me throw a counterargument here. Below are the share price movements of other companies that are discussed on this board since your post on May 27.

Asana: 110%  
Cloudflare: 54%  
Docusign: 49%  
Datadog: 48%  
Upstart: 47%  
Zoominfo: 42%  
Zscaler: 35%  
Lightspeed: 34%  
Crowdstrike: 23%  
Snowflake: 20%  
Okta: 15%  
Twilio: 7%

So, telling the story this way, it seems that folks that decided to sell Okta and deploy the cash in another high-performing company made the right decision (at least for now). Investing is completely personal, and if holding Okta let’s you sleep at night – then you’re doing what’s right for you. But I thought that showing the above example was another way of validating those that chose to make a different decision with the same data.

-RMTZP  
_Please read this before posting [https://discussion.fool.com/we39re-drifting-34904974.aspx](https://discussion.fool.com/we39re-drifting-34904974.aspx) and visit_  
_[https://discussion.fool.com/for-board-newcomers-and-oldtimers-34…](https://discussion.fool.com/for-board-newcomers-and-oldtimers-34891686.aspx) to maximize your learning of the board_

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**Author:** ![rdutt](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/rdutt/32/3382_2.png) [@rdutt](https://discussion.fool.com/u/rdutt)\
**Post date:** [August 25, 2021, 3:50pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/okta-a-groundswell-of-catalysts/56152/3 "2021-08-25T15:50:43Z")

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Thanks, RMTZP.

_Below are the share price movements of other companies that are discussed on this board since your post on May 27._

_Asana: 110%_  
_Cloudflare: 54%_  
_Docusign: 49%_  
_Datadog: 48%_  
_Upstart: 47%_  
_Zoominfo: 42%_  
_Zscaler: 35%_  
_Lightspeed: 34%_  
_Crowdstrike: 23%_  
_Snowflake: 20%_  
_Okta: 15%_  
_Twilio: 7%_

With the exception of Zscaler and Snowflake, I have large allocations of every stock in the above list as well. So for me, it’s not about Okta OR the others above, it’s about Okta AND the above. If I sold, especially in my taxable account, I’d take a tax hit of over 35%. I also continue to hold Shopify, MongoDB, Trade Desk and Roku for that reason. Basically, I let my winners run, and I like the diversification.

-Ron

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**Author:** ![wrciii](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/wrciii/32/3367_2.png) [@wrciii](https://discussion.fool.com/u/wrciii)\
**Post date:** [August 25, 2021, 9:18pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/okta-a-groundswell-of-catalysts/56152/4 "2021-08-25T21:18:30Z")

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Okta Inc. (OKTA), Market Cap $39.9 billion  
[Salesforce.com](http://Salesforce.com) Inc. (CRM), Market Cap $253.4 billion

I am still long Okta because of my confidence in CEO Todd McKinnon and COO Frederic Kerrest. Before founding Okta, they helped build [Salesforce.com](http://Salesforce.com). They know what a large SaaS company looks like.

Although no longer a hypergrowth story, I feel Okta has plenty of growth ahead of it.

FWIW, I want to see evidence that Okta is moving upstream in the next earnings report. That is to say, I want to see larger deals.

wrciii

“Bet the jockey, not the horse.” - Old racetrack saying  
But follow the numbers.

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**Author:** ![TheQuietAmerican](https://g.foolcdn.com/misc-assets/discourse-member-avatar_120px_cyan600.png) [@TheQuietAmerican](https://discussion.fool.com/u/TheQuietAmerican)\
**Post date:** [August 27, 2021, 4:55pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/okta-a-groundswell-of-catalysts/56152/5 "2021-08-27T16:55:39Z")

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Hi Ron,

Yes, still holding OKTA, since 2018. Thank you for this information.

TQM
