Omicron Update

Personal note: In Deep East Texas, no one expect my niece has tested positive. The party is on. No one is ill.

Watching Florida, it appears that the peak will be in the next few days, January 10th or 11th.

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases_…

You will have to select Florida and then zoom in to see what I am seeing. It appears that case for case, in Florida, the hospitalizations per case are about 1/6 to 1/8. This does not mean that Omicron is 1/6 to 1/8 as bad, deadly etc. This is because Florida, due to infections plus injections is near 100 percent protected agains Covid. In other words, most of the infections in Florida are break through infections.

Cheers
Qazulight

In other words, most of the infections in Florida are break through infections.

Are the new cases breaking through the vax, or breaking through the previous infection?

Adding up the 13.7M “fully vaxxed” and the 4.49M previously infected would seem to account for nearly everyone in Florida, unless most of the previously infected were sickbed conversions to being vaxxed, so the totals are counting them twice. Counting “fully vaxxed” is also invalid if the vaccinations were done early last year. The key number reported recently from Beumont Hospital here in metro Detroit is only some 8% of current patients were boosted.

Watching Florida, it appears that the peak will be in the next few days, January 10th or 11th.

I don’t see any reduction in the slope of the 7DMA or hospitalization curves.

Speaking of Beaumont, received this e-mail from them today, from Beaumont, not the media hype and hysteria machine.

COVID cases are rising rapidly in the community, and our ability to care for you and your family is at risk.

Hospitalizations at Beaumont have increased 40% in the past week. 62% of our COVID patients are unvaccinated and only 8% have received a booster. More than 430 Beaumont employees are also out with COVID symptoms.

“Our health care systems are overwhelmed and it’s more important than ever for the community to help contain the spread of this illness," said Dr. Nick Gilpin, Beaumont’s medical director of infection prevention. “If you have ignored our pleas for help before, now is the time to take action.”

What you can do to help:

Get vaccinated.
Get boosted.
Wear a mask.
Practice social distancing / limit gatherings.
Stay home if you’re feeling sick.
Encourage friends and family to take action/get vaccinated/pay attention.

Steve

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Decided to take a look at Michigan’s case and vax totals:

Total number of people “fully vaxxed” 5.7M

Total number of cases: 1.8M

Total of 7.5M that had some degree of immunity, somewhere along the line, out of a population of 9.987M

809,000 if those cases were prior to April 1, 2020, before the time when significant numbers of people were vaccinated. I submit that many, maybe most, of those people would have been vaccinated, if a vax had been available, and have since been vaccinated, so they are being counted twice.

Updated data due from the state this afternoon.

Steve…vaxxed, boosted, in the bunker

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Because Florida has had no
mask mandate nor social distancing through the Delta wave, it is more resilient than Michigan as far as infections go. Michigan was going to get hit hard this winter anyway by Delta. The deaths may (note weasel word here) be less with Omicron even though Michigan will experience an extra 2 million Covid naïve infections and probably another 2 million break through or reinfections that they would not have had to deal with in a Delta surge.

Cheers
Qazulight

Because Florida has had no mask mandate nor social distancing through the Delta wave,

Neither has Michigan. The Gov gave up trying to get people to do the right thing. All she got for her trouble was pushback from the legislature and demonstrators waving assault rifles.

So, she left it up to the counties whether to require masks in schools. A few counties did enact mask mandates in September. They started repealing the mask mandates due to the howls of the mob.

Steve

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