I’m inclined at my ripe old age (ack!) to stay away. I can see a younger investor maybe wanting a basket of stocks in this area but man, too scary for me.
Too scary for you, Dana! I didn’t know there was such a thing!
The only thing I would add is that to remember the wind is at the industry’s back. While it’s a tough neighborhood, the overall market is growing. Just look at the growth Visa alone is looking at in a place like India, where the CEO said in its most recent conference call that the number of merchants accepting card payments had doubled since 2016’s Q4. Over last year, as competition has ramped up, all are nicely up, beating the market believe it or not.
Also, while the payment processing companies battle it out at the merchant level, they all direct more traffic to the MA/V payment networks. For instance, when a farmer’s market or food truck begins to use Square where previously only cash had been accepted, that’s new revenue for MA and V. MA and V win almost no matter what with very little competition around the world.
PayPal is great because it rules mobile payments. This quarter, the company processed $49 billion in mobile payment volume – payments originating from a mobile device – good for a 52% increase year over year. Mobile payment volume now accounts for 37% of the company’s total payment volume. While PayPal competes around the edges with SQ et al, it doesn’t really do so directly.
Of the processors, I really like SQ’s and GPN’s position. I don’t think there’s any reason to rehash the bull case for SQ, but I wrote about GPN’s last quarter here: https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/02/21/3-ways-global-paym… I liked its most recent quarter just as much. Anyway, those are just my thoughts.
Matt
Long GPN, MA, PYPL, SQ
MasterCard (MA), PayPal (PYPL), Skechers (SKX) and Square (SQ) Ticker Guide
See all my holdings at http://my.fool.com/profile/TMFCochrane/info.aspx