Risk of Tesla camera-only self-driving

It can be both, right? Let’s say the vision system fails due to overheating, short circuits, or moisture ingress. All things which are known to have happened. Can the car achieve a minimal risk condition in that state? If the car is a Tesla, the answer is no, it can’t. Which means regardless of how good the software is/becomes, current Teslas can’t be L4 by definition due to hardware limitations. And you can go down the list. Besides vision, there are a number of other hardware-related single points of failure which would prevent the car from achieving an MRC.

This isn’t a particular problem because FSD is L2. It is assumed a human will take control of the vehicle in case of component failure, so camera-only is fine for the consumer market. But if your investing case depends on Tesla releasing a software update and instantly making millions of cars robotaxi-capable then it is a problem. I don’t see any scenario where regulators will sign off on a robotaxi unless the hardware meets SAE/ISO L4 standards, and current Teslas don’t.

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