The market’s high was 67 market days ago. This has happened 74 times since 1926, with a BCC=0 signal following within 4 months for only 28 of those 74 dates. On those 28 dates, the market was on average 12% below its high. The 46 dates that did not see a soon BCC=0 had a market on average 6% below its high. The market is now about 6% below its high.
If PH98 falls below 0.90, the odds of a BCC=0 signal increase sharply.
---- data ----
The 99-day new high ratio as used in DBE is: PH98 == gprc:1 / hgprc:2,98
Results
The following lists all investments passing step0 (unsorted) as of 20220407:
**field0=gprc:1 field1=hgprc:2,98 field2=ratio:field0,field1**
4500.21 4796.56 0.9382161
http://gtr1.net/2013/?lf-1lp-1h1::DBE:et1:DBE:sgmax%28ifgt%2…
Count of dates with days since high = 67, [DBE]=1
BCC=0 follows within 4 months is either FALSE or TRUE:
FALSE TRUE FALSE TRUE
count count PH98 PH98 PH98 PH98
**bars** FALSE TRUE **pct** Average Average StdDev StdDev
**36** 101 22 **18%** 95% 92% 4% 7%
**37** 100 22 **18%** 95% 91% 4% 7%
**38** 95 22 **19%** 95% 91% 4% 9%
**39** 95 22 **19%** 95% 90% 4% 9%
**40** 93 22 **19%** 95% 91% 4% 9%
**41** 92 23 **20%** 95% 91% 4% 8%
**42** 90 23 **20%** 95% 91% 4% 8%
**43** 87 23 **21%** 95% 91% 4% 9%
**44** 85 23 **21%** 95% 91% 4% 9%
**45** 81 24 **23%** 95% 91% 4% 9%
**46** 78 24 **24%** 95% 91% 4% 8%
**47** 77 24 **24%** 95% 90% 4% 8%
**48** 76 24 **24%** 95% 91% 4% 8%
**49** 72 24 **25%** 95% 90% 4% 8%
**50** 70 24 **26%** 95% 90% 4% 8%
**51** 67 24 **26%** 95% 90% 4% 8%
**52** 66 24 **27%** 95% 90% 4% 8%
**53** 60 26 **30%** 94% 91% 5% 8%
**54** 60 26 **30%** 94% 90% 5% 8%
**55** 56 27 **33%** 94% 91% 5% 7%
**56** 53 28 **35%** 94% 91% 5% 7%
**57** 52 28 **35%** 94% 91% 5% 7%
**58** 51 28 **35%** 94% 90% 5% 7%
**59** 51 28 **35%** 94% 90% 5% 7%
**60** 50 28 **36%** 94% 90% 5% 8%
**61** 50 28 **36%** 94% 90% 5% 8%
**62** 49 28 **36%** 94% 89% 5% 8%
**63** 47 28 **37%** 94% 89% 5% 8%
**64** 47 28 **37%** 94% 89% 5% 7%
**65** 47 28 **37%** 94% 89% 5% 7%
**66** 47 28 **37%** 94% 88% 5% 8%
**67 46 28 38%** 94% 88% 5% 8%
**68** 46 28 **38%** 94% 88% 5% 8%
**69** 46 28 **38%** 94% 88% 5% 8%
**70** 45 28 **38%** 95% 88% 5% 8%
**71** 45 28 **38%** 95% 87% 5% 8%
**72** 44 28 **39%** 95% 87% 5% 8%
**73** 43 28 **39%** 95% 88% 6% 8%
**74** 42 28 **40%** 95% 88% 6% 7%
**75** 40 28 **41%** 95% 88% 6% 7%
**76** 38 28 **42%** 95% 87% 6% 7%
**77** 36 28 **44%** 94% 87% 6% 7%
**78** 36 28 **44%** 94% 87% 6% 8%
**79** 36 28 **44%** 95% 88% 6% 7%
**80** 34 29 **46%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**81** 32 29 **48%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**82** 32 29 **48%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**83** 32 29 **48%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**84** 31 29 **48%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**85** 31 29 **48%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**86** 30 29 **49%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**87** 30 29 **49%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**88** 29 29 **50%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**89** 29 29 **50%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**90** 27 29 **52%** 94% 88% 6% 7%
**91** 27 29 **52%** 95% 88% 5% 7%
**92** 27 29 **52%** 95% 88% 6% 7%
**93** 27 29 **52%** 94% 88% 6% 6%
**94** 26 29 **53%** 94% 88% 6% 7%
**95** 26 29 **53%** 95% 88% 6% 6%
**96** 26 29 **53%** 95% 88% 6% 6%
**97** 26 29 **53%** 95% 88% 6% 6%
**98** 25 29 **54%** 95% 88% 5% 6%
barsSince barsTo BCC=0
Date [SMADiff] sma [NHNLDiff] nhnl [DBE] [BCC] gprc:1 hgprc:2,98 PH98 NewHigh BCC=0 within 4 months
19500915 0.14 1 10.48 1 1 7 19.29 19.4 0.994 67 679 0
19761228 0.23 1 4.09 1 1 7 106.77 107.83 0.990 67 1179 0
19800111 0.33 1 3.73 1 1 7 109.92 111.27 0.988 67 411 0
19830927 1.39 1 2.43 1 1 7 168.43 170.99 0.985 67 108 0
19680102 0.34 1 5.83 1 1 7 96.11 97.59 0.985 67 32 1
19280109 0.14 1 4.53 1 1 7 17.5 17.79 0.984 67 532 0
20051107 1.21 1 2.04 1 1 7 1222.81 1245.04 0.982 67 581 0
19441011 0.07 1 5.29 1 1 7 13.01 13.27 0.980 67 505 0
19930615 1.62 1 1.07 1 1 7 446.27 456.33 0.978 67 261 0
20050610 5.55 1 1.64 1 1 7 1198.11 1225.31 0.978 67 685 0
20121221 3.28 1 2.86 1 1 7 1430.15 1465.77 0.976 67 745 0
19920421 1.65 1 0.73 1 1 7 410.26 420.77 0.975 67 552 0
19620320 0.20 1 1.48 1 1 7 70.66 72.64 0.973 67 38 1
19910723 3.60 1 1.98 1 1 7 379.42 390.45 0.972 67 741 0
19360709 0.17 1 1.93 1 1 7 15.07 15.51 0.972 67 285 0
19521117 0.01 1 3.37 1 1 7 24.8 25.55 0.971 67 134 0
19960829 3.77 1 1.15 1 1 7 657.4 678.51 0.969 67 1131 0
19840116 0.78 1 1.62 1 1 7 167.18 172.65 0.968 67 32 1
19261210 0.02 1 0.00 1 1 7 14.43 14.93 0.967 67 804 0
19471028 0.02 1 4.11 1 1 7 15.54 16.12 0.964 67 32 1
19650818 0.07 1 2.30 1 1 7 86.99 90.27 0.964 67 220 0
19851022 1.02 1 0.21 1 1 7 188.04 195.65 0.961 67 564 0
19280817 0.15 1 1.45 1 1 7 19.64 20.44 0.961 67 378 0
20060810 4.51 1 -2.99 0 1 5 1271.81 1325.76 0.959 67 391 0
19560220 0.30 1 1.59 1 1 7 44.45 46.41 0.958 67 239 0
19601130 0.00 1 1.92 1 1 7 55.54 58.07 0.956 67 364 0
20120709 8.05 1 4.54 1 1 7 1352.46 1419.04 0.953 67 860 0
19520429 0.10 1 -1.43 0 1 5 23.49 24.66 0.953 67 272 0
19941205 -0.91 0 -1.74 0 1 4 453.32 476.07 0.952 67 1570 0
19560625 0.15 1 0.78 1 1 7 46.41 48.87 0.950 67 152 0
19561107 0.12 1 1.82 1 1 7 47.11 49.64 0.949 67 58 1
19591106 0.07 1 1.06 1 1 7 57.6 60.71 0.949 67 632 0
19610724 0.58 1 0.52 1 1 7 64.87 68.68 0.945 67 203 0
**20000629 6.01 1 -0.96 0 1 5 1442.39 1527.46 0.944 67 164 0**
**20040518 5.51 1 -1.79 0 1 5 1091.49 1157.76 0.943 67 953 0**
**19431018 0.10 1 0.54 1 1 7 11.85 12.64 0.938 67 757 0**
**19900115 2.94 1 -0.89 0 1 5 337 359.8 0.937 67 225 0**
19350412 -0.06 0 1.10 1 1 6 8.95 9.58 0.934 67 600 0
19600408 -0.06 0 0.31 1 1 6 56.39 60.39 0.934 67 526 0
19751017 1.03 1 0.67 1 1 7 88.86 95.61 0.929 67 1480 0
19530413 0.03 1 -0.68 0 1 5 24.77 26.66 0.929 67 35 1
19730418 0.16 1 -5.23 0 1 5 111.54 120.24 0.928 67 32 1
19810306 1.16 1 2.74 1 1 7 129.85 140.52 0.924 67 121 0
19411030 -0.05 0 -1.14 0 1 4 9.62 10.47 0.919 67 32 1
19940511 0.06 1 -0.80 0 1 5 441.49 482 0.916 67 32 1
19390117 0.17 1 1.27 1 1 7 12.73 13.91 0.915 67 62 1
19400131 0.07 1 1.38 1 1 7 12.05 13.21 0.912 67 70 1
20150826 0.52 1 -8.14 0 1 5 1940.51 2130.82 0.911 67 72 1
19991020 3.30 1 -2.40 0 1 5 1289.43 1418.78 0.909 67 339 0
19800520 0.15 1 1.00 1 1 7 107.62 118.44 0.909 67 321 0
19690313 0.16 1 -1.99 0 1 5 98.39 108.37 0.908 67 73 1
19480920 0.03 1 -2.22 0 1 5 15.44 17.06 0.905 67 97 0
20100729 1.92 1 1.23 1 1 7 1101.53 1217.28 0.905 67 289 0
19710803 0.60 1 -1.15 0 1 5 94.51 104.77 0.902 67 70 1
19981021 3.33 1 -3.49 0 1 5 1069.92 1186.75 0.902 67 590 0
19260520 0.00 1 0.00 1 1 7 12.71 14.13 0.900 67 946 0
19781215 0.45 1 -0.04 1 1 7 95.33 106.99 0.891 67 681 0
19660517 0.11 1 -4.81 0 1 5 83.63 94.06 0.889 67 32 1
20001207 -1.94 0 -7.73 0 1 4 1343.55 1520.77 0.883 67 52 1
20080115 -0.53 0 -12.26 0 1 4 1380.95 1565.15 0.882 67 32 1
20110804 6.08 1 -4.65 0 1 5 1200.07 1363.61 0.880 67 32 1
19740118 -0.77 0 -0.32 1 1 6 95.56 111.44 0.858 67 49 1
19470519 -0.17 0 -21.39 0 1 4 13.77 16.14 0.853 67 145 0
19410214 -0.11 0 -1.43 0 1 4 9.53 11.39 0.837 67 40 1
19300717 -0.52 0 -0.89 0 1 4 21.58 25.92 0.833 67 45 1
19901018 -2.38 0 -6.57 0 1 4 305.74 368.95 0.829 67 32 1
19571017 -0.24 0 -15.01 0 1 4 40.65 49.13 0.827 67 35 1
19370615 0.01 1 -4.79 0 1 5 15.34 18.67 0.822 67 51 1
19340515 -0.05 0 -0.70 0 1 4 9.63 11.82 0.815 67 46 1
19460904 -0.01 0 -9.09 0 1 4 15.46 19.25 0.803 67 32 1
19321212 -0.09 0 -0.18 1 1 6 7.07 9.31 0.759 67 404 0
19331020 0.14 1 -0.04 1 1 7 8.86 12.2 0.726 67 187 0
19871130 -1.79 0 -4.17 0 1 4 230.3 336.77 0.684 67 32 1
19291220 -0.19 0 -3.30 0 1 4 20.16 31.86 0.633 67 40 1