StevnFool Port Update - 2022

My final 2021 report is at: https://discussion.fool.com/t/stevnfool-…

My last monthly report is at: https://discussion.fool.com/t/stevnfool-…

My numbers updated for December are below.

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD CAGR GSD
Me 1.53% 1.15% 10.18% -3.08% -1.33% -7.25% 10.11% -3.29% -3.12% 9.42% 0.32% -5.71% 7.16% 7.16% 22.96%
NASDAQ -8.80% -3.35% 3.64% -13.28% -1.91% -8.49% 12.52% -4.60% -10.33% 4.04% 4.43% -7.62% -31.31% -31.31% 30.64%
DOW JONES -3.30% -3.19% 2.44% -4.91% 0.39% -6.56% 6.81% -3.78% -8.74% 14.03% 5.94% -2.58% -5.58% -5.58% 24.83%
S&P500 -5.27% -2.96% 3.76% -8.78% 0.23% -8.25% 9.21% -4.08% -9.24% 8.13% 5.23% -3.98% -16.89% -16.89% 25.55%
Index Average -5.79% -3.17% 3.28% -8.99% -0.43% -7.77% 9.51% -4.15% -9.44% 8.73% 5.20% -4.73% -17.93% -17.93% 27.01%

Note that all numbers include dividends. I used the total returns of
the corresponding ETF’s (ONEQ, DIA and SPY) as a proxy for total return
of the indices.

Just a look now at my performance since 2008:

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 CAGR GSD
Me -15.57% 11.69% 17.39% -3.22% 13.27% 20.02% 27.87% 2.86% 19.12% 6.32% 4.86% 19.90% -2.94% 34.37% 7.16% 10.15% 12.70%
NASDAQ -39.50% 45.58% 17.60% -0.52% 16.20% 39.86% 15.78% 6.69% 8.81% 29.28% -3.18% 37.15% 44.87% 22.11% -31.31% 10.86% 29.10%
DOW JONES -32.30% 22.36% 13.55% 8.25% 9.93% 29.64% 9.72% 0.09% 16.37% 28.08% -3.74% 25.03% 9.59% 20.83% -5.58% 8.86% 17.79%
S&P500 -36.71% 26.46% 14.59% 2.07% 15.99% 32.31% 13.46% 1.23% 12.00% 21.70% -4.57% 31.22% 18.33% 28.73% -16.89% 8.84% 21.83%
Index Average -36.17% 31.47% 15.25% 3.27% 12.19% 33.94% 12.99% 2.67% 12.39% 26.36% -3.83% 31.13% 24.26% 23.89% -17.93% 9.52% 22.91%

The GSD numbers here are just calculated from the annual returns - not
from the monthly returns.

Portfolio Make-up:

I have not really made any major changes to my portfolio during 2022
and I have no plans for major changes in 2023. My current portfolio
is not really MI at all in the traditional sense. It is approx:

56% Berkshire Hathaway

14% QQEW. This was part of a timing system but I may just keep this as
a long-term hold. Due to the difficulty of trading US ETFs from Europe
since some recent law changes, I may not be able to buy it again if I
were to sell it.

<1% cash.

Remainder: Several value positions some sometimes held as cash secured
short PUT positions but mostly just long stock positions.

My portfolio and currencies:

I live in the Eurozone (Ireland) and back in 2003, I had a very small
portfolio and invested it entirely in NET-NET stocks. Measured in USD,
I had a portfolio return of 103% for the year. Measured in Euro
however, my portfolio return was 70%. The drop in the value of USD/EUR
had cut a significant chunk from my return. For several years, I hedged
a significant portion of my portfolio from USD back to EUR or to a mix
of other currencies.

My thinking on this has changed somewhat and I now feel that currency
hedging is more appropriate for cash balances rather than for the stock
portion of my portfolio. Since I don’t tend to hold significant cash
balances for a long time, I dropped all my currency hedges during 2015.
I don’t know if I will reinstate them in the future.

Because of my previous stance on currency hedging, I reported all my
returns in EUR but compared them to benchmarks in USD. I suppose this
is not really correct given my current approach to this topic, but
for continuity, I think I will just continue as I have been doing.

StevnFool

10 Likes

Can you tell us how you implement the portfolio?

1 Like

The makeup of my portfolio is detailed in the original post of this thread. As to how I implement it, it has evolved over the years from an active Mechanical Investing portfolio to what it is today which is close to a Buy & Hold portfolio with a value slant. I rarely trade now. To quote Buffet or Munger (forget which), “Bordering on sloth”. The choices of what I hold has largely been influenced by Jim (mungofitch). Part of the reason for minimal trading is life getting in the way. I don’t spend too much time analysing potential investments.

I hope this answers your question.

Stephen

4 Likes

Thank you for letting me know.