T-Mobile, TMUS

Hearing a lot of good news lately (Netflix being included, anecdotes of switchers, improved network, …) I pulled some EPS numbers.


          Q1     Q2      Q3      Q4     Year
2014		0.48	-0.12	0.12	0.29
2015	-0.09	0.42	 0.15	0.34	0.82
2016	 0.56	0.25	 0.42	0.45	1.68
2017	 0.8	0.67	 0.63		2.10+

There’s some quarterly lumpiness to do with spectrum purchases; annually the picture is clear. Looks promising!

The P/E is currently 26.

Here’s their latest shareholder info: http://investor.t-mobile.com/Cache/1001228564.PDF?O=PDF&… These shareholder “facebooks” appear very shareholder-friendly. (more at http://investor.t-mobile.com/QuarterlyResults).

Any red flags with T-Mobile?

Graham

3 Likes

Hi Graham,

The one issue I see with TMUS is what differentiates their product from the competition? To me, there is no difference between the cell phone service from TMUS, S, VZ, or T as long as you live in a well populated area. That means TMUS has to compete on price to increase revenue and I am reluctant to invest in a company that has to compete based on price instead of a product that makes it stand apart from the competition.

Wiseguy

Full disclosure: I own a few shares of TMUS and am short a few TMUS puts as well.

1 Like

Good question. I see the bundling of a Netflix subscription as a differentiator. Sprint has since added Hulu (who cares?), and AT&T, at their top tier, includes HBO - if you also have their TV service. It doesn’t include HBO Go, just HBO over cable. I don’t see anything equivalent from Verizon.

T-Mobile’s marketing is also differentiating - at least anecdotally my kids have noticed it.

They must be doing something right - now at 18 consecutive quarters where >1 million customers were added (albeit in a growing market). Over the last year, TMUS’ revenues grew where the other 3’s revs have declined.

The stock has taken a small hit lately ($68-ish to $62-ish) due to the potential merger with Sprint falling through.

Graham

Outstanding article on John Legere, T-Mobile’s CEO: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/24/t-mobile-ceo-john-legere-on-…

“So he wrote a manifesto. “We’re not like other wireless companies. Why would we be?..”

“T-Mobile is in an enviable position of building the bundle from scratch with services that consumers actually want and without having to sustain legacy businesses that are in structural decline.”

Graham