Tesla Autopilot crash into 76-yo women's home in Houston, killing her

Yes, that is evidence.

The counter is that supervised and unsupervised are worlds apart in terms of difficulty.

In the march of 9s to safety, Tesla is maybe at 3 or 4 9s: 1 incident in 1000 or maybe 10000 miles (based on flawed crowd-sourced data, but we can’t know precisely, because Tesla doesn’t share detailed safety data).

They need to get at least 6 9s, 1 incident per million miles to get on par with humans (or even better, if they want to get safety near where Waymo is today).

But, as Tesla can attest (as can Waymo and everyone else), the journey to “better than human” driving is a long slog.

Here are 10 reasons to doubt Tesla autonomy in the near term.

I’m happy to be wrong or corrected with a genuine argument otherwise.

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