# Tesla Model Y sales surging in California **URL:** \ **Category:** Macro Economic Trends and Risks\ **Created:** [February 18, 2026, 9:57pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444 "2026-02-18T21:57:04Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 9\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![intercst](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/intercst/32/1543_2.png) [@intercst](https://discussion.fool.com/u/intercst)\ **Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 9:57pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444/1 "2026-02-18T21:57:05Z")
{{ New reports showcase that the Model Y sold 110,120 in California throughout 2025, which nearly doubles its closest competitor in the Toyota RAV4. The Toyota Camry and Model 3 came in third and fourth, respectively, showcasing the overwhelming dominance of the two brands, specifically Tesla. }} > **[Tesla Model Y is still California’s best-selling vehicle by a big margin](https://supercarblondie.com/tesla-model-y-best-selling-vehicle-california/)** > > The Tesla Model Y is still California's best-selling vehicle, as it nearly doubled the sales figures of its closest competitor in 2025 intercst ---
**Author:** ![albaby1](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/albaby1/32/12772_2.png) [@albaby1](https://discussion.fool.com/u/albaby1)\ **Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 10:46pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444/2 "2026-02-18T22:46:52Z")
Well, not “surging,” exactly. More like “declining”: > Despite leading the state, Model Y sales have trended downward year-over-year. Registrations fell from 132,636 in 2023 to 128,923 in 2024, and then to 110,120 in 2025. Overall Tesla sales in California also declined, dropping from 238,589 in 2023 to 202,865 in 2024 and 179,656 in 2025. [Tesla Model Y tops California vehicle sales despite Elon Musk backlash](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-model-y-tops-california-sales-despite-elon-musk-backlash/) I mean - still vastly higher than the RAV4! But not surging. ---
**Author:** ![DrBob2](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/drbob2/32/3456_2.png) [@DrBob2](https://discussion.fool.com/u/DrBob2)\ **Post date:** [February 18, 2026, 11:56pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444/3 "2026-02-18T23:56:57Z")
About that s-shaped adoption curve… ![Screenshot 2026-02-18 at 5.56.09 PM](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/original/3X/1/6/16bd361b84710847adf487f4568307628ccce260.jpeg) DB2 ---
**Author:** ![mostlylong](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/mostlylong/32/3943_2.png) [@mostlylong](https://discussion.fool.com/u/mostlylong)\ **Post date:** [February 19, 2026, 1:45am UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444/4 "2026-02-19T01:45:47Z")
> [@DrBob2](#): > > s-shaped adoption curve For Tesla global vehicle sales it’s more upside down U shaped, because brand innovation and taxi opportunity ---
**Author:** ![intercst](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/intercst/32/1543_2.png) [@intercst](https://discussion.fool.com/u/intercst)\ **Post date:** [February 19, 2026, 2:34am UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444/5 "2026-02-19T02:34:23Z")
> [@albaby1](#): > > I mean - still vastly higher than the RAV4! But not surging. If you’re in an overall declining new car market, and you’re declining less than you’re competitors, that’s “a surge”. It’s amazing to me that AAA estimates that it costs almost $12,000/year to own and operate the average new car bought with a loan or lease. The last 10 years, my Nissan Altima was costing me less than $1,000/yr. Always preferable to find someone else to pay the skim on a new vehicle, and then purchase a reliable used one. intercst ---
**Author:** ![TucsonBones](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/tucsonbones/32/2780_2.png) [@TucsonBones](https://discussion.fool.com/u/TucsonBones)\ **Post date:** [February 19, 2026, 6:27am UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444/6 "2026-02-19T06:27:55Z")
> [@intercst](#): > > New reports showcase that the Model Y sold 110,120 in California throughout 2025, which nearly doubles its closest competitor in the Toyota RAV4. Only because The U.S. market is closed to a vehicle like the Huawei Luxeed R7 ---
**Author:** ![tjscott0](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/tjscott0/32/1083_2.png) [@tjscott0](https://discussion.fool.com/u/tjscott0)\ **Post date:** [February 19, 2026, 2:19pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444/7 "2026-02-19T14:19:16Z")
> [@intercst](#): > > It’s amazing to me that AAA estimates that it costs almost $12,000/year to own and operate the average new car bought with a loan or lease. The last 10 years, my Nissan Altima was costing me less than $1,000/yr. Well intercst the $12 k figure is for the typical American that drives his vehicle 10 blocks to the store. You however, prior to your leg operation, thought nothing of walking miles to the grocery store. VERY unAmerican. LOL Perhaps many Americans will like you buy a used EV coming off lease. > **[Why 2026 Will Be a Great Time to Buy a Used EV](https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a70020914/why-2026-will-be-a-great-time-to-buy-a-used-ev/)** > > A flood of off-lease EVs will soon start hitting dealers, driving down prices. ---
**Author:** ![intercst](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/motleyfoolfree/user_avatar/discussion.fool.com/intercst/32/1543_2.png) [@intercst](https://discussion.fool.com/u/intercst)\ **Post date:** [February 19, 2026, 9:33pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444/8 "2026-02-19T21:33:00Z")
> [@tjscott0](#): > > You however, prior to your leg operation, thought nothing of walking miles to the grocery store. VERY unAmerican. LOL Yes. It will newsworthy when I return to that activity sporting the Robo-Leg in a few months. intercst ---
**Author:** ![Hawkwin](https://g.foolcdn.com/misc-assets/discourse-member-avatar_120px_green600.png) [@Hawkwin](https://discussion.fool.com/u/Hawkwin)\ **Post date:** [February 19, 2026, 11:41pm UTC](https://discussion.fool.com/t/tesla-model-y-sales-surging-in-california/123444/9 "2026-02-19T23:41:25Z")
> [@intercst](#): > > If you’re in an overall declining new car market, and you’re declining less than you’re competitors, that’s “a surge”. LOL, that’s quite some spin you got there. I remember a conversation I had with my first sales boss many years ago. I had a lousy quarter but I ended up with the best performance on his team. I tried to justify my performance by telling him that even though I did lousy, I still did better than everyone else. His politically incorrect and sarcastic response has stuck with me throughout all these years. “Congratulations, you are the tallest midget in the room.” I don’t think I have ever heard an earnings call where they tried to claim a decline in sales is a surge - simply because every other competitor may have declined more.