the hindsight Crystal ball thread

Now doubt Saul will tout his still market beating 5 year CAGR in the year-end review.

There was a poll on his board about a year ago, quickly removed, where people were asked if their returns were positive or negative since starting with his method. The majority was negative while the poll was still running. Now it would be even worse.

If you are boarding a momentum train, make sure you are one of the first on board, when valuations are still in the ball park of what is historically reasonable. P/S of 10-20 … ok. P/S of 50-60 with huge market caps … not so much.

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