Berkshire underperformance

Since Buffett retirement announcement the stock is steadily declining. Certainly WEB is a value add the stock was outperforming before that and trading bit richly to its BV (a preferred valuation method for many Berkshire investors). Don’t know how long it will last, I have sold couple of Aug $450 Puts, just to keep track. Even though I own Berkshire and have a covered call at Jan 26 $400, I rarely look at the stock. The put covers the quarter report, since they don’t do quarter earnings call. We will know whether Berkshire started buyback back their shares.

1 Like

PBV is 1.57. It is still expensive. For PBV around 1.3. it needs to come down to ~$400 or increase its BV. My guess is it will stabilize around $425 and would be a good point to accumulate. Mag 7 are very hungry for energy.

Last week, I closed Aug and opened Sep :frowning:

The results are decent, nothing really bad, or earth shattering. Many sites talked about operating income decline but failed to mention it is due to forex adjustment, excluding that operating income actually went up. No buyback, about $3 B net equity sale, $3B $KHC position write-down.. There is very little support below $450 until it reaches $400. I might roll my Sep $450 Put to $400 Put…

Closed Sep. For now, my core position and a covered $400 covered call is all I am left with. The covered call is only 7% annualized yield, but that was a long-shot in case, Berkshire kept declining.

Separately, on $CSX news, Berkshire made a decision not to pursue the merger. I am wondering is that because they were worried Trump will make their life miserable… So, keep an eye that this merger might still happen post-Trump.