Portfolio Return: These are my returns after adopting most of Saul’s growth strategies.
25-year/lifetime average results = 23.3%
The focus of my investing, true to my TMF and Wall Street Week in Review with Louis Rukeyser’s investing roots is to buy great stocks and try to hold as long as possible. I have improved my investing by using what I have learned from Saul. I have a concentrated portfolio of 6 growth stocks. I also have a concentrated portfolio of 5 – 7 income stocks which provides my retirement income through dividends and covered calls. Altogether, I track about 12 stocks. Although I try to hold as long as possible, I will sell when I think my thesis is broken. About a third of the time, I get my sell decisions wrong. And about a third of the time, I get my buy decisions wrong. For anyone who wants to invest, the price of entry is being wrong sometimes. As investors, we MUST embrace our fallibility. My efforts focus on being wrong less often. I’d like to be wrong a quarter of the time.
Stock Guidelines:
- Revenue Growth Over 30% Market leading products or services.
- Increasing Margins
- Increasing free cash flow and profitability.
- Management with high integrity
- Scalable businesses.
- Large Total Addressable Market.
- Reasonably Stable Share Count
Allocations
**Comments on Companies**
Cash: I thought that Trump might incrementally increase tariffs, but that’s not the case so I plan to dramatically increase my cash holdings.
Mercadolibre: Broad based businesses involving logistics, online sales, credit, insurance, and even advertising. With the concerns of doing business with China, I believe we’ll see better investment in Latin America and Mexico. LA labor costs are currently half of that of China. Still looks like a great investment.
Nvidia: Blackwell chips are rolling out. There’s no end in sight for the demand in AI chips, yet I hear constant fear that NVDA has run its course. We are getting to the end of the training phase for Large Language Models but just starting the inference phase. Now is when value will be monetized. The more worry I hear the better I feel about holding. Cash on the sidelines is always fuel for a stock rise. I will keep my eyes open on the DeepSeek, but demand for it’s chips remain high, but tariffs are a big concern. I mulling whether or not to cut this position in half.
Nu Holdings: PEG around 0.7. As the economy becomes more turbulent tried and true metrics mean a lot to me. That means we’re at a decent entry point for growth that is likely to be over 40% in the coming years.
AXON: Axon provides equipment that improves safety, accountability, and reduces cost for law enforcement. As it is purchased by municipalities, I think it would be fairly recession resistant.
Monday: Yeah, Monday has competitors, but it’s built a great platform, and it’s business has stayed strong thru a rolling price increase. It helps with project management, sales, IT support, software development, marketing, HR, and operations. It’s got 33% revenue growth with 111% net retention rate. It’s free cashflow positive, and is non-GAAP profitable. They are investing in new product development while maintaining fiscal discipline.
Best,
bulwnkl