Corporate Tax Rate

Which will have the best macroeconomic effect on US economy?

Whereas former President [name edited] flagship Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanently reduced the corporate tax rate from 35% to a historically low 21%, current vice president and Democratic Party presidential nominee [name edited] has proposed increasing the corporate tax rate by a third to 28% in order to generate additional revenue.

The question is-in my mind-Will the extra money into corporate coffers flow to new manufacturing facilities creating new jobs? Or-as my cynical inner voice whispers-It will result in a big payday for corporate leadership?
I would think that cutting corporate tax rates aid corporate profits and the stock market further increasing income inequality as most stock ownership is in the hands of top 10%.

Corporate profits are at 50 year high.
What are corporations currently doing with those profits?

Nonfinancial corporations have not been this profitable in almost half a century.

Almost half of those profits went to paying dividends.

Nonfinancial corporations have also used their profits to increase their cash stockpiles. Liquid assets amounted to $7.2 trillion in December 2023 up from $6.1 trillion in December 2019 – all measured in December 2023 dollars.

the ratio of capital expenditures for this business cycle averaged to a historically low 132.8% of after-tax profits – the lowest such ratio on record, dating back to 1952.

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Only if the “jobs” are really low pay, replacing USian jobs at a higher pay rate.

This tidbit may have escaped notice around here. Ford failed miserably to compete in India, so product from the reopened plant will be for export only. Just what will be built, and exported where, is a deep, dark secret. My takeaway from Ford’s secrecy is, when the answer becomes known, people are not going to like it. One thing is know for sure. Indian autoworker pay is so low, it makes Mexicans look rich.

Fed Dot Plot has us at 4% by the end of 2025. That is likely a better predictor. As we learned earlier this year, traders will commonly get aggressive on their assumptions on rate cuts when the Fed has given no indication that a cut is forthcoming.

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