Cost Makes Adding New Nuclear Power Plants Unthinkable

There is a lot I don’t understand in the world, but how a state that is supposed to regulate a monopoly utility in the public interest would allow Georgia Power to build a $36 billion nuclear facility that is 10 times more expensive than equivalent generation, go $20 billion over budget, take 15 years to build, and still seen as an achievement is something I do not understand.

Of course, Plant Vogtle was completed—if there is no limit to what can be spent, as there wasn’t for this plant, then nearly anything can get built. But at what cost? The fact that the Georgia Public Service Commission (PSC) put in place no ratepayer protections from cost overruns and put the bulk of those overruns into the rate base, driving the largest rate increase in state history, is one of the biggest failures of the monopoly-regulatory compact that one could imagine.

The enormous costs for this project and the disappearance of ratepayers from the evaluation of its success are upsetting to me, but even more dismaying was learning about POWER’s Plant of the Year award for Plant Vogtle. Surely, POWER’s editors know that a $20 billion cost overrun is a substantial construction failure? In what scenario would anyone consider a contractor’s $100,000 estimate to build a house that actually cost $250,000 a success?

The reasons for Vogtle’s cost overruns are well-documented in PSC filings written by independent construction monitors with nuclear engineering and construction knowledge, and were widely reported in media. Reasons included poor decision-making, lax oversight, shoddy construction, and failure to create a real project schedule. COVID had less than a 1% impact on the budget.

Widely reported failures by executive and site management for Plant Vogtle seem to have been forgotten now that it’s done. But they have not been forgotten by the people of Georgia, whose bills containing Vogtle’s summer rates are just now hitting mailboxes. My first post-Vogtle electric bill shows an astonishing 35.8% increase (Figure 1).

One of the PSC’s mandates, as written in Georgia’s code, is to set just and reasonable rates. They did not do that. Far more affordable options for generating 2,200 MW of energy were dismissed throughout this project, even as PSC staff (Figure 3) and experts repeatedly called for the project to be cancelled to prevent further financial harm to ratepayers.

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POWER’s Plant of the Year award concludes with a quote from Georgia Power’s Chief Financial Officer Aaron Abramovitz, “When you consider the timeline and scale of the project, and the challenges we overcame, it’s truly a monumental accomplishment.”

But that statement is deeply misleading. The timeline of the project accrued to Georgia Power’s benefit because Georgia’s commission allowed Georgia Power to profit from delays. They never abated the early financing construction tariff on customers’ electric bills throughout the 15-year project, so the seven-year schedule delay delivered billions in extra profits to the utility while costing each Georgia Power customer about $1,000 before any electricity was produced.

There are many opinions and views about Plant Vogtle from people outside of Georgia. What do people inside Georgia think? While no poll exists, public comments at Vogtle rate hearings are clear: people are angry, upset, and fearful about bill impacts.

Concerned that the narrative surrounding Plant Vogtle would be spun into gold, six Georgia organizations recently published a report called Plant Vogtle: The True Cost of Nuclear Power in the United States. The authors of the report want to ensure that a comprehensive understanding about Plant Vogtle exists in a single document that is available for everyone. Claims that future AP1000 reactors will be less expensive to build are no more credible now than they were when such claims were made in Georgia at the start of this project.

Calls for expanding nuclear energy appear to be driven by fears that the grid will not be ready for the future as artificial intelligence (AI) and data center energy demands proliferate. These fears have overwhelmed concerns that the grid must remain affordable, and creative ways to meet that demand and profit motives from those making growth projections are ignored. The U.S. economy simply cannot afford unconstrained investment by for-profit monopolies with a financial incentive to invest too much, too soon. What happened in Georgia should not happen to unsuspecting ratepayers in any other state.

Patty Durand is the founder and president of Cool Planet Solutions.

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I am amazed that there are no folks who want to defend the Vogtle 3&4 boondoggle. Residential power prices are rising while Southern Company and Georgia Power fleece the ratepayers.

Jaak

Aren’t SMRs the response to the cost problem. Manufactured components assembled on site should reduce cost.

And then there are plans to upgrade and restart old plants.

People do see nuclear energy in our future and are looking to keep it competitive.

So far all these SMRs and restarting old nukes is batting near zero. They are not competitive so far. France, Japan, UK, and others are having cost and schedule problems with new nukes. China’s nukes are government funded so cost and schedule are not a concern in China.