I took some random notes while listening to the earnings call with some of my observations below, though some of these have been covered by others already…
FSLY Q2 Earnings Call:
As anticipated, FSLY just released fantastic results for the quarter today. On the top line, they announce $75m in Revenues, which represents 62% revenue growth q/q, an increase from around 38% growth prior to this quarter. Nice acceleration, but again, anticipated.
Additionally, they announced increased Gross margins to 61% from 55%, increased Net Customer Retention Rate to 138% (up from 130% which is simply incredible and I believe among the very best of any company we own), positive EBITDA, and $454m in cash with very still very little debt.
So what was NOT to like and why is FSLY trading down significantly in after-hours trading today? Well, they had already announced in the prior quarter’s release and guided to much higher revenues (they had guided to 56% growth last quarter already) due to the positive effects and “tailwinds” of Covid-19; In response, the stock price was already up +50% in the last 5 days (yep…you read that right, but read it again for good effect) and up +420% in the last 6 months. Naturally some traders are taking profits off the table and others just were not satisfied with the relatively small beat. I also have to admit I was expecting more like 70-80% revenue growth with the “tailwinds” they had claimed, and would not have been surprised by a bigger beat.
On the unknown side, they also shared that they have one very large customer who is getting hamstrung right now by the US government: A little company called TikToc (with whom I’m sure your teenager is very well acquainted) that makes up 12%+ of their revenues and who the current Presidential administration is threatening to ban in the US. Investors don’t like uncertainty.
In spite of the uncertainty around Covid and TikToc, FSLY raised their annual guidance again and appeared very confident in the bright future of the company, in the trends and in the tailwinds they are seeing. The only other possible negative I noted was a very large increase in total shares outstanding from 95m to 110m, or around a 16% increase, but we already knew that in May they had done a secondary public offering which partially explains it, and which also explains why their cash position is up so significantly (6.9m shares issued at $41.50/share).
Personally, I am still very happy with the company’s release and its hard to find a reason to sell my core position, though I struggle to add to it either. At 62% revenue growth, they are now catapulted ahead of all but the fastest growing companies (by revenue) that I own right now (ZM, DDOG, CRWD are all much higher of course…well…and then there used to be this company called Livongo…;). I won’t go there right now…grrrrr…
FSLY stock is trading down about 14% after-hours today, but my guess is that it will not be down that much tomorrow when the regular market re-opens. They set themselves such a high bar and the stock price was already up so much that a drop is not unexpected…though I (and many) would of course have loved to see it scream higher! One (1) company down…9 to go! Four (4) more of them tomorrow!!
While Hollywood is canceling all their premier movies in the theatre this summer, at least we still have our company blockbuster features!! Pick a company and listen to the call tomorrow…well worth it and can’t imagine owning one of these companies and NOT doing so!?? Cheers!