I’ve recently started a position in Michael Kors (KORS), which ironically was recently sold from the Rule Breakers service based on a member vote. But here are the numbers I get for historical TTM EPS and TTM Revenue. Note that KORS only reports GAAP numbers, so these are all GAAP except the most recent quarter’s EPS where they explicitly called out a $0.06 hit from FX, so I added that back:
KORS
Price: $42.11 1YPEG: 0.27 Adjusted P/E: 10
Adjusted Earnings - Historical Stats
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| Fiscal Q. Adj. EPS TTM EPS YoY TTM Growth Growth Acceleration |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Q4 2015 $0.96 $4.35 35.5% -16.1% |
| Q3 2015 $1.48 $4.17 42.3% -22.4% |
| Q2 2015 $1.00 $3.80 54.5% -3.9% |
| Q1 2015 $0.91 $3.51 56.7% |
| Q4 2014 $0.78 $3.21 |
| Q3 2014 $1.11 $2.93 |
| Q2 2014 $0.71 $2.46 |
| Q1 2014 $0.61 $2.24 |
| Q4 2013 $0.50 |
| Q3 2013 $0.64 |
| Q2 2013 $0.49 |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Revenue - Historical Stats
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Fiscal Q. Revenue TTM Revenue YoY TTM Growth Growth Acceleration |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
| Q4 2015 $1.1B $4.4B 34.0% -19.4% |
| Q3 2015 $1.3B $4.2B 42.2% -16.4% |
| Q2 2015 $1.1B $3.9B 50.5% 3.9% |
| Q1 2015 $919.2M $3.6B 48.6% |
| Q4 2014 $917.5M $3.3B |
| Q3 2014 $1.0B $3.0B |
| Q2 2014 $740.3M $2.6B |
| Q1 2014 $640.9M $2.4B |
| Q4 2013 $597.2M |
| Q3 2013 $636.8M |
| Q2 2013 $532.9M |
+---------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
So a 1YPEG of only 0.27 with a TTM P/E of 10, while earnings and revenue are still growing rapidly (though decelerating as the law of large numbers kicks in).
The stock price has declined from a peak of around $98 in Feb, 2014 to around $42 today. This seems to largely be a reaction to slowing growth, and then the stock plummeted when KORS announced negative same store sales in the most recent quarter. I think people are looking at the recent decline of Coach and are throwing KORS into the same bucket and over-reacting.
For anyone who has access to Supernova, this is a wonderful and in-depth recent discussion of KORS (pros and cons) that evaluates the current situation far better than I can:
http://newsletters.fool.com/1502/coverage/2015/06/22/team-in…
Has anyone else here looked at KORS? I’m curious what others think. I personally put very little stock in the at-large RB membership that voted the company out of the service. I basically feel that even if the business has very mediocre performance from here, the stock is still too cheap.
Neil
Long KORS