MISH: Home Sales Down Every Month Since FEB

Reminders: These numbers look back to last month, before yesterday’s latest Fed Rate Rise of +0.75% Also, Mish is talking existing home sales, not new home sales.

Worth opening up for the charts and graphs:

Mish headline: Existing Home Sales Decline Every Month Since February, Down 0.4 Percent in August

Sub-headline: Existing home sales decline again in August but beat expectations for the first time in months.
MISHSEP 21, 2022


Key Existing-Home Sales Points

:pushpin: Existing-home sales decreased for the seventh straight month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.80 million.

:pushpin: Sales tailed off 0.4% from July and 19.9% from the previous year.

:pushpin: The median existing-home sales price rose 7.7% from one year ago to $389,500.

:pushpin: After five successive monthly increases, the inventory of unsold existing homes dwindled to 1.28 million by the end of August, or the equivalent of 3.2 months at the current monthly sales pace.

:pushpin: The inventory of unsold existing homes rose to 1.31 million by the end of July, or the equivalent of 3.3 months at the current monthly sales pace.

:pushpin: Total housing inventory registered at the end of August was 1,280,000 units, a decrease of 1.5% from July and unchanged from the previous year. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.2-month supply at the current sales pace – identical to July and up from 2.6 months in August 2021.

:pushpin: The median existing-home price for all housing types in August was $389,500, a 7.7% jump from August 2021 ($361,500), as prices ascended in all regions. This marks 126 consecutive months of year-over-year increases, the longest-running streak on record. However, it was the second month in a row that the median sales price retracted after reaching a record high of $413,800 in June, the usual seasonal trend of prices declining after peaking in the early summer.

:pushpin: Properties typically remained on the market for 16 days in August, up from 14 days in July and down from 17 days in August 2021. Eighty-one percent of homes sold in August 2022 were on the market for less than a month.

:pushpin: First-time buyers were responsible for 29% of sales in August, consistent with July 2022 and August 2021. NAR’s 2021 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers – released in late 20214 – reported that the annual share of first-time buyers was 34%.

:pushpin: All-cash sales accounted for 24% of transactions in August, the same share as in July, but up from 22% in August 2021.

:pushpin: Individual investors or second-home buyers, who make up many cash sales, purchased 16% of homes in August, up from 14% in July and 15% in August 2021.