More Efficient EVs Would Be Cheaper, Less Stressful On Power Grid

https://insideevs.com/news/732408/aceee-study-white-paper-cheaper-grid/
A new white paper by the ACEEE insists that more efficient EVs with smaller batteries would be cheaper and better for the power grid.

The American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) says that a more efficient battery could cut EV costs by up to $4,800 and charging times by a third.
Smaller batteries and more efficient EVs could cut demand on the power grid by 20%.

just because EVs are more efficient than their fuel-powered counterparts doesn’t mean vehicle efficiency as a whole is now irrelevant. If manufacturers were to put the spotlight more on vehicle efficiency, it could make EVs even cheaper. By a lot, actually.

ACEEE paper link:

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It will never happen because most consumers are not concerned with efficiency. Just look at the ICE market and ask yourself how often efficiency comes into play in a person’s purchase decision.

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Absolutely correct! Battery prices have dropped like a lead balloon

1991 to 2018

Price is bottoming out 2013 to 2023

The race is on to increase the energy density of the battery packs as well as more efficient EV construction methods. Early on the battery packs were just load. In current Tesla EVs the battery pack is part of the EV’s structure. It joins the front and rear giga castings.

The Captain

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This is why “swappable battery packs” is never going to catch on. Modern race cars (Indy, F1 for example, and even many junior classes of race cars) have engines that are stressed members of the chassis. And that is exactly what you describe above, the battery being a stressed member of the car. The downside is it is much harder to replace an engine (/ battery) when needed when it is not simply dropped into a chassis.

The ‘permanent’ design is based on the belief that the battery will outlast the car.

The Captain

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This is one of the reasons (maybe the most important). But there are other reasons:

  • battery tech is still an area of rapid improvement
  • people tend to take better care of something when they own it
  • swapping means having more batteries than cars – so someone has to pay for that convenience rather than waiting an additional 10-15 minutes. (assume 20-30 minutes for a ~80% fast charge and 10-15 minutes to drive up and get a swap if there is no line)
  • Batteries sitting waiting can’t/shouldn’t be kept above 80% SOC with current chemistries
  • Swap stations would need to have at least several different battery sizes and types. What would you do if they were all out of yours? Have a fast charger backup? $$$
  • Most likely you need employees 24/7 to operate the swap station or at least 16 hrs/day and fall back to DC fast chargers other times

Mike

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Well NIO has a different vision and is swimming again the current.
https://insideevs.com/news/723937/nio-battery-swap-station-fourth-generation/
The first batch of NIO’s fourth-generation battery swap stations went live this month in China, paving the way for the support of multiple brands and models.

According to the Chinese manufacturer, the Power Swap Station 4.0 is fully automatic.

The battery swap process is also quicker and takes just 144 seconds. NIO says that a single station can provide up to 480 swaps per day.

The battery swap is more convenient and likely faster than refueling because the driver does not have to get out of the car.

How much is the battery inventory costing them? I think there might be better uses for the pile of cash.

Nio has installed more than 2,300 battery swap stations but said less than a fifth currently are breaking even.

The Captain

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