Precipitation

Precipitation models are not ready for prime time. Li et al. looked at the current generation of models (CMIP6) and found that projections for changes in California precipitation ranged from -3% to +42% for northern California and -27% to +63% in the central-southern part of the state.

Their modeling came up with increases of +10 to 34% for the north and +7 to 32% to the south. This was by the end of the century.

Wetter California Projected by CMIP6 Models With Observational Constraints Under a High GHG Emission Scenario
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF00…

DB2