According to a Beverage Insights tweet today: A whopping 87% of c-store retailers said they plan on giving Celsius energy more shelf space during spring resets, per Goldman Sachs Beverage Bytes survey. Celsius is expected to increase its space by 12.8% on a weighted avg store basis.
Looks like Monster and Red Bull must be losing space.
I have a position in Celsius because the numbers looked too good to not have a position. But, after spending so much time and energy in tech investments Celsius presents quite a learning curve. There’s an awful lot of stuff with respect retail, and beverage retail in particular that is so unfamiliar. Never gave shelf space a thought when I was looking at software companies (though the term shelfware was common parlance when I was in IT. It referred to a software product which never got installed, or if installed, seldom used by a small number of users. Yes, in those bygone days before the internet, software used to be packaged).
Thanks for sharing @FoolishJeff and I would like to add the latest Nielsen data, which @jonahlupton shared on X with some additional insights:
$CELH grew volumes by 69.9% YoY with +28.1% price increase which means US retail sales grew ~89.5% YoY
Keeping in mind, that CELH lapped the 1-year anniversary of Pepsi taking over the distribution of CELH we are comping against those numbers of late 2022.
@HaikiliKona1 Yes, i follow Jonah on X so that is where i found the info. Excellent thread! Something to note, the Nielsen data you refer to above was only for the last 4 weeks. The Nielsen data i posted a few weeks ago was for the past 12 weeks. So, i believe you are right, things are slowing as we hit the 1 year anniversary of the Pepsi rollout. 12 week growth in tracked channels was 149% vs 118% over the past 4 weeks, if Bnh calculation is correct.
As mentioned in the thread, Jonah is forecasting 57% growth next year vs the tougher comps. The consensus estimate is 38.5% growth for next year.