Treasury Bills versus CDs

For the last few years, I found that T-bills yielded better than CDs and better than the various cash savings accounts. So I regularly bought T-bills twice each week (of all the various types, 4-week, 6-week, 8-week, 13-week, 17-week, 26-week, and 52-week, and the occasional odd cash management issue) to create an extremely gradated ladder with maturities occurring twice each week. But over the last few months, I noticed that CDs are yielding better than T-bills, so I switched to CDs instead. In my case, living in a state without an income tax, CDs are nearly equivalent to T-bills, certainly yield-wise, but also safety-wise if you consider FDIC close enough to full-faith-and-credit.

Now comes the problem. CDs are a LOT more work than treasuries. For the treasuries, I simply placed orders each week after the issue was announced and had become available for orders. No thinking or searching involved, it literally took 60 to 90 seconds twice a week. And then the T-bill auction would occur, and after each auction, I would note the rate that I received. For CDs, it’s much different. I need to search for all the CDs, then I need to find the “best” rates, and then I need to approximate the closest date that I want. It’s kind of a hassle and takes 5-10 minutes every day or two. But I’m regularly seeing CD yields about 0.15 - 0.2% better than T-bills. Lately I’ve been snagging CDs yielding 3.90% and one even at 3.95%. There is a distinct risk that rates go up a bit this year, so I haven’t gone further out than a year for now.

The cash has to sit somewhere, so it may as well be whatever is highest yielding at the time.

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2YR Treas yield spiked from a 4 yr low of 3.37 on 2/27 to the recent high of 3.98 on 3/26 ~ an 18% increase in a month. CD rates, to your likely point, should be moving up slower. Makes one wonder what those banks might be experiencing that is different than the overall market. I have seen some local banks even willing to pay 4.25% for six months of savings - has to be a loss leader strategy.

That being stated, I have seen fixed annuity rates climb back above 5% for 5 yrs largely due to this spike in the yield.

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All the 3.95% CDs have disappeared, and if you want 3.90% you have to go out a year or so. I’m hedging my bets and not going out much past a year because there is a possibility of elevated inflation for a while that may result in higher rates and thus opportunity to get higher rates (probably just for a relatively short period). I hope it was wise filling most of the near-term rungs with 3.90% and 3.95% CDs. But like I said elsewhere, I have T-bills that mature twice each week, so there’s always opportunity to reinvest some portion at higher rates if they arrive.

[NOTE: I just happened to look again and a 10/1/26 3.95% CD that disappeared a few days ago suddenly reappeared. So I ordered some more.]

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