$TSLA a bearish bet

The recent price surge is primarily driven by election results. Both are strong personalities and there is a potential for falling out sometime. Even otherwise, TSLA has seen many drawdown and rallies because of its mercurial CEO.

So I bought Jan 26 $200 Put and sold $180 Put for 3.85. In total I bought 10 contracts, so either I lose 3850, or I make 20,000. Of course I am not going to hold this till maturity, rather close on TSLA stock weakness and take profits.

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I closed 60% of my position when the spread price increased to $4.5, locking in some gain. But mainly, looking at option volume, it seemed $TSLA is going to rally, while the Implied volatility had raised, and thus option prices, even though $TSLA stock price moved up, I wanted to wait for better entry.

For those really adventurous, $TSLA call volume are exploding. in 4 trading days, the traders are expecting $TSLA to increase from $352 to $400+, that is $150 B increase in market cap.

This action is similar to $GME, where option buyers are driving the price higher. I am sure Trump presidency might be helpful for TSLA, but is that worth $500 Billion???

I still strongly think the put spread will make money, but if you think market will offer a better entry point, then you should wait for that. Hence I closed 60% of my position for a mere $390 profit. Waiting for better entry around $3. I have also sold some short term put options for $260 strike price. If the price declines sharply towards that, the spreads i own will appreciate faster than the call…

You have to roll dice in this casino… too much action to stay on the sidelines. :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

Elon criticized stargate deal y’day and Trump took that on stride. I will be slowly building my position. :smile: :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

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$TSLA announced what is a soft quarter. 2025 guidance looks pedestrian. He makes it up for these with rosy 26, 27, 28… guidance. Talks like we will be more valuable than the next 4 or 5 companies…