What happens when we default?

There will be a spike in bond yields. Or at least the perception of risk now going forward is enough to crush the weaker players.

This is bad news for banks on a few fronts and for commercial real estate that would be hanging on regardless. Combined there is going to be carnage.

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If bond yields spike, bond prices fall, with a decent yield you get risk free return and a free call…

Be great time to buy government bonds.

Cheers
Qazulight

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If US govt bond yields go up due to Congress choosing to default, you can bet the Vulture Capitalists will be buying as many/much of the defaulted paper as possible as fast as possible (particularly the short-term debt). Why? Because the US govt has (thus far, anyway) always paid its debts–and that won’t change with a delay in payments. The govt will add extra interest to their payment, when it is paid, because it is LATE payment. This has happened before and is no big deal.

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yep you’d only have inside of a week to two week window to snatch things up.