An inverted yield curve has always been a sign of a recession
I can’t see any rate cut working too well given the way central banks are dumping the dollar and the way the US is clocking up debt. Basic economics taught me that interest was there to reward lenders, and if so, they are going to demand higher rates.
Is that statistically proven out since there is such a small pool of data? If you flip a coin 10 times and call heads. Each time the coin lands on heads. Does that mean I can predict 100 percent of the time what the coin will do?