The 10 year Treasury is a benchmark bond, serving as a reference point for other instruments such as mortgage bonds. The 10 year yield reached 5% in October this year, a rate last seen in 2007. Since October, the yield has come down sharply to about 4.2%.
A higher yield might make fixed income investors happier. A lower yield might make equities more attractive.
In 2024, will the 10 year Treasury yield again reach 5% in 2024?
- Yes - In 2024, the 10 year Treasury yield WILL again reach 5% or higher.
- No - In 2024, the 10 year Treasury yield WILL NOT again reach 5%.

I think this is my most eloquent post.
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I’ll just say this: in this poll, every vote is welcome and every vote counts.
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Our forecast is in, the 10 year Treasury yield will not reach 5% in 2024. This interest rate has peaked in the near term so we say.
I look forward to seeing how our modestly crowdsourced forecast performs.
Thank you for voting!
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Good job, look how smart we are. The 10 year yield in fact did not reach 5% in 2024.
It reached as high as 4.6 and change.
Congratulations to everyone who made boatloads of $ by following this forecast.
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