8% Defense Cuts for 5 Years Ordered

Hegseth’s order calls for an 8% cut to the Pentagon budget each year for five years. The Pentagon budget for 2025 is about $850 billion, and an 8% cut for five years would bring it down to roughly $560 billion, a reduction of $290 billion.

Hegseth wants the proposed cuts to be drawn up by February 24, and the memo included a list of 17 categories that would be exempt from the spending cuts.

The Post report said the exemptions include operations at the southern border, modernization of nuclear weapons and missile defense, and acquisition of submarines, one-way attack drones, and other munitions.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/02/19/trump-pentagon-budget-cuts/
The budget directive follows a separate order from the Trump administration seeking lists of thousands of probationary Defense Department employees expected to be fired this week.

Combined, the two efforts amount to a striking assault on the government’s largest department, which has more than 900,000 civilian employees, many of them military veterans. Probationary employment in the Defense Department can last from one to three years, depending on the position, and can include employees who have shifted from one job to another.

The European Command is not considered a priority. China is the main enemy now. Focus shifts to Indo-Pacific Command.

I await the “Weak on Defense” charges.

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Yup: the troop deployed in Europe are needed to invade Panama. Most of the rest will probably be taken out of enlistment and retention bonuses, and VA benefits like educational assistance and health care.

lessee…let’s test that theory:

Googly AI answer:

The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) requested a budget of $369.3 billion for fiscal year 2025. This is a $32.9 billion increase from the previous year’s budget.

There you have it, take all the cut out of the VA. Technically, the VA is a separate department from DoD, but has a detail like that stopped “them” before?

Steve

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290 / 5

$58 billion per year. Not $290 in year five.

Europe can defend Europe.

Mexico alone is tying us down.
Good!

Perhaps not.

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The Question is defend against what?

Yes, Russia’s population is declining. The decline has been accelerating due to low birth rates, the war in Ukraine, and emigration.

Explanation

  • Low birth rates

Russia’s birth rate has been at a 25-year low, and in the first half of 2024, births were 16,000 fewer than the previous year.

  • The war in Ukraine

The war has caused a spike in mortality and a mass exodus of young men and their families.

  • Emigration

About a million Russians fled the country after Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine.

  • Age structure

Russia’s age structure is now such that it will promote a population decrease rather than an increase.

Projected decline

  • The UN projects that Russia’s population will be 120 million in 50 years, a decline of about 17%.

  • The Russian statistics agency Rosstat predicted that Russia’s population could drop to 130 million by 2046.

  • An Atlantic Council report says that Russia’s population could shrink by half by the end of the century.

Palantir took quite a hit today. On CNBC the defense department cuts were cited as a cause. (Also an end to momentum investing.) Very high PE. Attractive revenue growth (so far) but not translating to earnings. People taking profits.

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Nice call very possibly accurate. Wait and see.

I knew it was to good to be true.

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As noted before, the argument is not about the spending. The argument is always about who benefits from the spending. I see lots of goodies for defense contractors on the list in the article. Wonder where the money will be taken away? I’m thinking spending on things for the benefit of the enlisted people.

By the way, there are reports the SecDef has compiled a list of flag rank officers to be “fired”. Two of the names on that list are members of the JCS. Any guesses who the two are?

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Saw a chart the other day showing the USA could cut defense spending in half and still out spend the next closest nation by about 20-30% (China). Of course 2 caveats. 1 - is the data true. 2 - we actually spend all the money appropriately instead of on $500 hammers.

Does the data account for comparable stuff being cheaper in China? That being said, the amount of nonsense that goes on in procurement is epic, compared to only 40 years ago.

Steve

Yes, what you spend the money on matters far more than the amount of money.

One thing that seems to have gotten lost here, is that as that as per the Constitution Congress appropriates the money, not the Executive branch.

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I’m sorry, that qualifies as “oldthink” in this brave new world. Try to keep up.

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Describe those $500 hammers–in detail. This will be FUN.