So if I open YouTube every Tom, Dick, and Harry is telling me the market is going to crash and we’ll have hyperinflation next year.
So I guess I should buy some stocks, no?
10 Likes
No.
Discarding what every Tom, Dick, and Harry is telling me is sagacious prudence, but tells you nothing about what the market will do, up or down.
Since I no longer understand this market on a value basis, and I dislike investing on a short term maneuvers basis, I have left the securities market and am working real assets (real estate, water rights, timber) real real hard.
David fb
5 Likes
What qualifications do the Tom, Dick, and Harrys have?
What time horizons do the Tom, Dick, and Harrys have?
Since this is a MACRO board, what is the biggest macro economic event currently happening that one can invest it?
What is climate change? Energy dislocation? Few things are as macro as climate…
Tesla bears got punched in the nose by 4Q 2021 deliveries. Tesla bulls got a +13.53% reward. BTW, someone commented that the TSLA gain was bigger that Ford’s and GM’s market CAPs…
Billions
TSLA gain 160.589
Ford 86.998
GM 88.810
Reminds me of the days when IBM’s net income was larger than Apple’s revenues.
Dealers? What did we learn from DELL? Direct to customer. IBM tried it but was stymied by their distribution channels which killed their PC business with the help of Microsoft Windows.
Dear ICE incumbents, Shift Happens!
Truck drivers a problem? Autonomous trucks: AUR, EMBK, TSLA, TSP.
Market noise is just temporary and it lets you play the “Reversion to the mean” game. Sell on crazy run-ups and buy on crazy dips (bought TSLA at $910 on 12/20. Up 32%. Watch for blowout earning to maybe take profits).
The Captain
3 Likes
So if I open YouTube every Tom, Dick, and Harry is telling me the market is going to crash and we’ll have hyperinflation next year.
So I guess I should buy some stocks, no?
The only sure sign to back up the truck is if the person who shines your shoes says a crash is coming. 
Since I no longer understand this market on a value basis…
How can anyone with FEDzilla messing with markets?
The Captain
3 Likes
<< Since I no longer understand this market on a value basis…>>>
How can anyone with FEDzilla messing with markets?
Without FEDzilla, “laissez-faire economics” would have made us Somalia by now.
intercst
18 Likes
So I guess I should buy some stocks, no?
—
The only sure sign to back up the truck is if the person who shines your shoes says a crash is coming.
Since the only person who has ever shined my shoes is myself, it becomes a circular problem. 
DB2
2 Likes
Since the only person who has ever shined my shoes is myself, it becomes a circular problem.
Heh heh … pretty much same here. I think the last time someone shined my shoes for me was at least 2 decades ago maybe 3, at a hotel somewhere. And nowadays I rarely wear shoes anyway. Since March '20 I’ve only worn shoes twice, to funerals.
WilliB
So if I open YouTube every Tom, Dick, and Harry is telling me the market is going to crash and we’ll have hyperinflation next year
FWIW, the recent highly scientific poll on this very same TMF board has revealed that 80% of folks are either “100%” market engaged, or at least 66% with both feet. (42 total respondents.)
https://discussion.fool.com/poll-going-to-cah-or-carrying-on-350…
Like I say, highly scientific, and YM(may definitely)V.