We’re expected to achieve AGI in the next 2 to 3 years. The winner will be either China or a large US tech firm like Google or Microsoft. Anyone with a “knowledge job” that you can do sitting at a computer will be out of work.
Probably makes sense that Trump is dismantling the Education Dept – anyone with an education won’t be employable. The future will be all manual labor and Only Fans personalities.
The is a book, I think it is “Run Silent, RunDeep” In one chapter the Chief brags to the captain, “The enlisted men can run this ship without you.” The Captain replies,”I am not here to run the ship, I am here to sink enemy ships.”
I think that AI will be a great tool, but innovation will remain the realm of humanity. Lawyer are not here to know law. They are here to use the law to achieve a goal.
Engineers are not here to know the natural laws that govern their branch of engineering, they are here to use those laws in clever ways to solve problems.
AI is here to combine keyword-matched info and syntax from the internet in random ways, put the result in sentences and thus present the appearance of intelligence.
I suppose composing a sentence is a form of intelligence. However, the content of the sentence matters.
It is not just the content, it is the intent. In the context of this conversation, if you know me and you are attempting to convince me, or influence me, AI cannot use not just logic, but emotion within the context of our relationship to influence me.
Think of this.
I have a beef with my condo association. The HOA docs give the HOA the right to enter my condo for emergencies. IE. There is water or smoke issuing from my unit. Also, for maintenance. To repair the sliding doors, or the fire alarm, or the sprinkler system. What the docs do not say is that the HOA can enter my unit at their convenience. Or maybe it is at my convenience? The docs don’t say.
In a conflict, if it were to get that far, the lawyers would use power, bluffs and emotions, not the law. In my case it never got that far. I just pointed out that this is Florida and my wife is armed. No threats, just facts.
We came to an agreement that they would tell me a day that they would enter, and I would be ready to escort.
In bigger issues a simular dynamic plays out. It
takes clever play to navigate to a resolution.
I doubt it, partly based on opinions I have similar to Qaz’s, but mostly based on my thinking that the very notion of “the Singularity” is too half baked to allow any notion of what or where we are on the way to when.
Biological and theoretical over-complexity will trump (oh, pardon me!) the tech bros fantasies. At least for now.