Chinese Electric Cars Are Leaving The US In The Dust

Let’s start with BYD, the world leader in plugin vehicle sales. The company:

Aside from BYD, you’ve got NIO & XPENG expanding across the world and seeing strong sales growth. You’ve also got Zeekr sales soaring and expanding into more and more markets. There’s not any comparable growth or expansion from other US automakers — legacy or startup.

Already above 20,000 sales a month, or at an annualized rate of approximately 250,000 sales a year, how long will it take to reach Tesla’s current annual target of 2 million cars a year?

Then you’ve got Chery becoming the first automaker to develop a solid-state battery factory.

Tesla’s Hail Mary pass is AI and robotaxis, but the ball has been in the air on that for about 7 years.

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The US has been going retrograde for 40 years. This is just one more vector.

Steve

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https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/ar-AA1uuXKx
Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis plan to slash thousands from their workforce in the coming months.

Unfortunately for the world’s major carmakers, they aren’t facing one issue but an agglomeration of several significant interconnected challenges at once. Add to that an ultracompetitive business with high overhead costs and low profit margins, and things quickly get very difficult.

When market dynamics, regulatory requirements, and financial costs shift dramatically in a relatively short period of time, the results can be dire. That’s what we’re seeing play out.

Meanwhile GM’s PE falls to 6–far below 16 to 22 considered typical. That implies investors see profits falling as they lose market share.

Unless the new administration can pull off a save with new tariffs.

With great fanfare, VW announced their MEB EV platform, a few years ago. Ford licensed MEB, rather than develop their own.

Recently, VW partnered with a Chinese EV company. Came across a piece on youtube last night: in China, VW is abandoning MEB, and switching to the Chinese partner’s platform, because it is vastly more cost efficient to build. I will give VW an “atta-boy” for not being stuck in “not invented here” syndrome. Meanwhile, here in the US, VW is investing Billions in Rivian, because VW’s own EV software zux. The only question is can Rivian stay afloat long enough for VW to adopt the Rivian software to their cars?

Steve

Xpeng
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Yup. One of those Chinese companies that, some say, will never outcompete Tesla, and never take share away from Tesla.

And here is a piece about VW’s embrace of Rivian. For the first time, in quite a while, I am thinking VW might survive, due to their willingness to say “our stuff zux. who does it better? what do we need to do to obtain these better solutions?”

Of course, none of this matters here, because the US is going even more retrograde.

Following BYD templet.

Are EVs made in China such as BYD vehicles clearly cheaper to make? Or are they subsidized somehow? Great engineering? Much improved design? Bare bones w few features? Small light weight? Low labor costs?

Tesla manufactures in China. Can they compete on cost/price/margin?

The piece I posted above claims the platform developed by VW’s Chinese EV partner is far more cost efficient to build than VW’s own MEB platform.

Steve