Expect inflation to go up over 4%

Democrats founded the US. Or were you claiming the USSR (founded by Republicans)? Oh yes, the Republican foundling (or was that fondling?) died due to its economic collapse in 1991. Which the Republicans are replicating in the US right now.

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They don’t line up behind fascists, you should know that since you couldn’t get anyone to follow you on the New Paradigm board.

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Just how warped does your brain need to be from decades of AM Talk Radio and Fox News to actually believe that?

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D20 is a bot. Plus twenty.

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Everyone who thinks knows he is not patriotic to the US. His only loyalty is to himself and his masters/owners.

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You can’t have love for your country, if you only love yourself!

Do-do, do-do, do-do, do-do

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Ladies and gentlemen, El Demonio! With his new hit, ā€œIf You Only Love Yourself!ā€

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ā€œIncel Insideā€ ā€œIncel Insideā€

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Meanwhile someone has to know what is going on.

Deflation

The layoffs are happening. The employment number was bad.

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151k is not terrible. It is within a range I consider reasonable. 4+% unemployment is still ok–for now. If it keeps going up (and hits 6%-7% or more), then things get ā€œinterestingā€. Key point is interest rates, which are tied to inflation. We have had very low unemployment for many years, so having the unemployment rate revert to its ā€œnormal rangeā€ (5%-6%) would be a shock to the workforce and could embolden some employers to try to reduce wages by using their usual historic tactics. However, this is a much different workforce than previously, so pay that is deemed ā€œtoo lowā€ won’t get many (if any) competent applicants.

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Every single one of us, incel inside?

I reject your premise…

Depends on when–and why–you bought the car.

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Oh snap! I forgot that if you include ā€œincelā€ three times in a post, one of them shows up with a snarky comment…my bad.

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So you don’t know whether you are a man or a woman? You have my empathy. It must be totally crazy to be so old and still be so confused. Let’s all have a moment of silence for Dividend and hope he can figure out exactly who he is.

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I decreased equity allocation heading into this year and then again two weeks ago. I believe the GDPnow site that says Q1 GDP is negative. Of course it is a forecast, so could be wrong.

I sell options on some sector etfs like XLU and IHI. Keeps me mildly entertained.

Sell put, eventually get exercised, own stock, sell call, eventually get exercised, repeat. Collect dividends along the way. Sometimes also do the same on ā€œvalueā€ stocks, currently PFE and MRNA, which can be falling knives. Prefer to have a dividend on these, but ā€œwent for itā€ with Moderna.

Aside from all of the long tsla in spy and qqq, I am short tsla via deep out of money put option. I’m a mild tsla fan, just not sold on valuation and near-term aspirations for AVs and robots and such. Glad to have a new US manufacturer that is tech forward.

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Thank you for the limerick.

I would always take a rain check.

I hope today or soon, you are feeling max refreshed.

If it helps, your limerick got 18 recs so far, so you brought joy to the fools.

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I need 4% inflation for 2025 to avoid jumping brackets and increasing my Medicare IRMAA penalty.

intercst

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Sorry I’m not clear on what you mean. Do you mean you need less that 4% inflation or more than 4% inflation to avoid jumping brackets. I am assuming less than is your goal. If that’s right, I think you’re going to be out of luck.

His rockets are falling from space
And his stock is on the same pace
I’d almost be thinking
Approval is sinking
And maybe he’ll quit in disgrace

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No, more than 4%. Vanguard screwed up dividend reporting for 2024 as a result of that ACATs transfer theft in September. That caused me to make a slightly larger Roth conversion to top off the IRMAA bracket in late December. Now I need at least 4.0% inflation to get the 2026 IRMAA bracket lifted above my 2024 income.

intercst

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