Gasoline price increase not inflation

Jan 11, 2022

When gasoline prices jumped in the United States in 2021, it was taken as a sign of runaway inflation- and a return to the bad old days of the 1970s. There is certainly some support for that view: According to data compiled by the Energy Information Administration, regular-grade unleaded gasoline averaged $2.97 per gallon over the first 10 months of 2021, and in October 2021 it was a whopping $3.38 per gallon. Considering that the same grade of gas averaged less than $2.00 a gallon in the spring of 2020, that could feel like the start of an out-of-control cost spiral.

It would be premature to jump to that conclusion, however. For one thing, the May 2020 prices were depressed by the widespread shutdown of economic activity at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. More importantly, though, while the nominal average price of gas in the United States is high, adjusting the price for inflation tells a different story. Compared to prices from 10 years ago, gas is pretty cheap, though not as much as it was in the 1990s.

https://www.asme.org/getmedia/525dd9d1-6b25-4e5c-96f9-5e8a9e…

The graphs explain everything.

Jaak

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Compared to prices from 10 years ago, gas is pretty cheap, though not as much as it was in the 1990s.

“The last 20 years have been marked by instability in inflation-adjusted gas prices. The years after 2001 saw steadily increasing prices due to the economic growth of China and wartime disruption in the Persian Gulf region. Even the global financial crisis of 2008 created only a temporary dip in prices. But the widespread adoption of hydraulic fracturing and other unconventional oil production techniques saw an influx of oil into the world market; between 2012 and 2016 gas prices fell by nearly half.”

DB2

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