Hey Mauser:
Very interesting!
Their web site is here:
https://www.instructure.com
A nice review article here:
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4107517-instructure-premium…
I believe Instructure to be temporarily undervalued - a few more quarters of outperforming earnings should close the valuation gap. A revenue multiple of 6x would be an appropriate near-term valuation for Instructure, implying a price target of $38. In addition, any further buzz from the pending Cornerstone OnDemand sale overtures may give lift to Instructure’s stock.
That is pretty close to its present stock price.
At first blush, would be a little concerned about their low capital war chest…especially based on their cash burn particularly with launch of new products they have announced.
I understand what Canvas and Bridge are but what is the “Gauge” (? K-12 product) and “HCM” and “Arc” as well as each categories TAM? They said gauge is $200-300 million TAM.
Regarding the K-12 initiative from their last earnings call:
And so yeah, we are definitely gaining some traction there, because of market awareness. But, at the same time, I want to caution that, there is still a lot of unknowns in the K12 market. It’s still a little squirly, but we continue to win our unfair share of that market, and win rates are increasing, and also of course, with the announcement of the Gauge product, we are really doubling down on our ability to offer compelling products to this market, with the Assessment Management Platform that dramatically increases the total addressable market in K12, and so we anticipate that will be even more attractive to the larger districts, which really honestly are the most interesting districts out there.
When was the last time the TAM was described as “squirly”
Sounds like they are less certain about K-12…but the concept of centralizing management in larger school districts does make sense.
Also, what about their main competitor in Blackoard:
http://www.blackboard.com
I know that Utra has been delayed but what impact would this launch have on its TAM? How are they differentiated from Blackboard?