Figure (roughly) that about half the population lives in states where state regulation of abortion is not going to change,
In Michigan, overturn will restore a 1931 law to force, which bans all abortions. The Gov says she will try to have that law overturned, but I take it as a given the legislature wants to keep it in place.
Some states are trying to reach outside of their borders. Missouri is pushing a law to make it illegal to perform an abortion on a Missouri resident anywhere, including in a state where the procedure is legal.
Even if twenty-odd states still have legal abortion, the next push will be for a ban at the Federal level.
The US has been running about 600K abortions/year, or about 11% of pregnancies. Some of those who have abortions may still be in school. What is the cost of interrupted education? How many will never return to school? Most will probably be lost to the workforce, because daycare is beyond their means to pay.
Worse yet, the cost to society of more neglected/abused/murdered children. How many of the kids that survive that sort of childhood end up as criminals? Once they have a prison record, what are their employment prospects?
By comparison, U.S. nonfarm employment is about 150 million people - about 1000x larger than the likely population switching from termination of pregnancy to completion.
At what age can you leave a kid at home alone, so mom can return to the workforce? 13? 15? Here in Michigan, it is illegal to leave a kid unattended under age 10.
Home Alone Rules by State
So multiply that 600K abortions by 10 years. Possibly as many as 6M lost to the workforce, or 4%. That is more than the current unemployment rate. I would assume that there are some people who have multiple abortions over a 10 year period, but I have no data on that.
Meanwhile, attempts at family leave laws beyond the current unpaid 12 weeks are blocked because they “burden” the JCs. Government paid child care is too socialistical for Shinyland. “Traditional family values” dictate women have no place in the workforce. Anyone else here read Gilder’s “Wealth and Poverty” back in the day? There were several professional women in my grad school class that read that book. There was, to put it mildly, vigorous discussion of Gilder’s defense of companies that refuse to give women a career path, based on the assumption they are only killing time working, until they quit to have children and become a stay-at-home mom.