It might be interesting to examine the graph of monthly US crude oil production from the EIA.
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&…
Production hit an all-time high at 400 million barrels per month in December 2019. Then, it dropped off to 301 million barrels in May of 2020. Since then, it has generally recovered, with 359 million barrels in December of 2021. Right now, production is basically where it was in late 2018, with a slow trend up.
- Pete