German wind energy stalls amid public resistance and regulatory hurdles
Germany still isn’t building nearly enough wind farms to replace the nuclear power plants they continue to shut down. Below are the wind power capacities installed at the end of each year, given in gigawatts. For 2022, the capacities at the end of May are listed. Also listed are the yearly additions from 2017 through 2022 (so far).
Wind Wind Combined Added from
Year On Shore Off Shore Capacity previous yr
---- -------- --------- --------- --------
2016 45.28 4.15 49.43
2017 50.17 5.41 55.58 6.15
2018 52.45 6.40 58.85 3.27
2019 53.19 7.53 60.72 1.87
2020 54.84 7.74 62.58 1.86
2021 56.27 7.77 64.04 1.46
2022* 56.88 7.77 64.65 0.61
* As of 31 May 2022
https://energy-charts.info/charts/installed_power/chart.htm?..
In 2021, nuclear power in Germany produced 65,400 GWh.
https://energy-charts.info/charts/energy/chart.htm?l=en&…
To be generous, they are adding 2 GW a year in new wind power capacity. That new wind power, at a 21% capacity factor, will produce…
(2 GW) x (24 h/d) x (365 d/y) x (0.21) = 3679 GWh per year. This is far short of the 65,400 GWh produced by nuclear power last year. At the end of 2021, the German government forced the permanent closure of 4 GW of nuclear capacity. At the end of this year, they will shut down the remaining 4 GW.
As can be seen, off-shore wind additions have stalled since 2019. On-shore additions are a little better, but construction is much slower than it was before 2017.
Germany will be completely free of nuclear power at the end of 2022, but they will continue to burn coal and natural gas to keep the lights on. The additions of wind and solar power are far short of what is needed to replace the nukes. I didn’t include numbers for solar power in this thread, but if you do the math, you can see the new solar power added isn’t very much, since the capacity factor for solar power in Germany is only about 11%.
From what I can tell, power generation from coal is up about 15% this year compared to last. We will see what the final year numbers show, but obviously reducing the emission of CO2 is a low priority.