OKTA Announces Record Fourth Quarter

“Okta Announces Record Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2019 Financial Results”

But the link is dead…
https://investor.okta.com/index.php/news-releases/news-relea…

Things to come?

🆁🅶🅱
wordlessly watching, he waits by the window and wonders…

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190307005699/en/


Revenue (millions USD)							
	Q1      Q2	Q3	Q4	Year	YOY	
2017	31,787	37,436	42,283	44,011	155,517		
2018	52,325	60,259	66,911	77,052	256,547	64.96%	
2019	83,621	94,586	105,576	115,471	399,254	55.63%	
							
							
Adj Gross Proft (millions USD)							
	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Year	YOY	
2017	20,121	24,462	29,109	34,135	107,827		
2018	36,021	42,371	48,188	56,953	183,533	70.21%	
2019	61,932	69,342	80,013	88,198	299,485	63.18%	
							
							
Gross margin percent (Non-GAAP)							
	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Year		
2017	63.30%	65.34%	68.84%	77.56%	69.33%		
2018	68.84%	70.31%	72.02%	73.92%	71.54%		
2019	74.06%	73.31%	75.79%	76.38%	75.01%		

🆁🅶🅱
wordlessly watching, he waits by the window and wonders…

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Link works now…

Okta Inc. (OKTA) shares dropped in the extended session Thursday after the identity-management company’s bottom-line outlook fell well short of Wall Street estimates. Okta shares dropped 10% after hours, following a 1.5% rise to close the regular session at $81.21. Okta said it expects an adjusted loss of 22 cents to 21 cents a share on revenue of $116 million to $117 million for the first quarter, and a loss of 53 cents to 48 cents a share on revenue of $530 million to $535 million for the year. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast a loss of 12 cents a share on revenue of $111.7 million, and a loss of 22 cents a share on revenue of $518.3 million for the year. The company reported a fourth-quarter loss of $30.8 million, or 28 cents a share, compared with $23 million, or 23 cents a share, in the year-ago period. The adjusted loss was 4 cents a share. Revenue rose to $115.5 million from $77.1 million in the year-ago quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast a loss of 8 cents a share on revenue of $107.9 million.

-Wallace Witkowski; 415-439-6400; AskNewswires@dowjones.com

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So, isn’t it a better buy now with a small dip AH?

I’m disappointed with the revenue growth deceleration. Had been holding steady around 56%-57%, now suddenly a drop to 50%.

Still great growth, but Twilio is accelerating. Had hoped to see that from Okta as well. The conference call should be illuminating.

Customer growth…


Total customers					
	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	YOY
2018	3,350	3,650	3,950	4,350	
2019	4,700	5,150	5,600	6,100	40.23%
					
					
Customers (ACV > $100k)					
	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	YOY
2018	493	539	603	691	
2019	747	837	937	1,038	50.22%
					
					
Dollar-based net expansion rate					
	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	
2018	123%	123%	123%	121%	
2019	121%	121%	120%	120%	

🆁🅶🅱
wordlessly watching, he waits by the window and wonders…

11 Likes

RoyGeeBiv,

Thanks for the posts. Helpful. Much appreciated.

One thing that caught my eye in a quick scan of the press release was the revenue growth forecast.

Total revenue of $530 to $535 million, representing a growth rate of 33% to 34% year-over-year.”

That compares to this year’s 56 percent. Maybe explains the AH drop? Will be curious to read the conference call transcript.

Long OKTA.

One thing that caught my eye in a quick scan of the press release was the revenue growth forecast.

Today’s release stated…

For the full year fiscal 2020, the Company expects:

• Total revenue of $530 to $535 million, representing a growth rate of 33% to 34% year-over-year

However, a year ago OKTA stated…

For the full fiscal 2019, the Company expects:

• Total revenue of $343 to $348 million, representing a growth rate of 33 to 35% year-over-year

Notice anything there? :wink:

🆁🅶🅱
wordlessly watching, he waits by the window and wonders…

28 Likes

Customer growth…

Total customers
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 YOY
2018 3,350 3,650 3,950 4,350
2019 4,700 5,150 5,600 6,100 40.23%

Customers (ACV > $100k)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 YOY
2018 493 539 603 691
2019 747 837 937 1,038 50.22%

Dollar-based net expansion rate
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2018 123% 123% 123% 121%
2019 121% 121% 120% 120%

Did you post this from the future?

1 Like

Those are FY19 numbers

Maybe the market did not like the ever growing loses. Land and expand is fine but if you keep losing more money with each expansion you will eventually be in big trouble.
I don’t mind loses in these early stages but do not like to see them growing.Because eventually it’s profit not sales that pays the bills.

5 Likes

Scan through co reports this year vs. last year this time. Forecast for yearly growth was 33-35% last year, ended 50% today. Not sure if history might repeat…


For the full year fiscal 2020, the Company expects:

Total revenue of $530 to $535 million, representing a growth rate of 33% to 34% year-over-year
Non-GAAP operating loss of $69.0 to $63.0 million
Non-GAAP net loss per share of $0.53 to $0.48, assuming shares outstanding of approximately 115 million

For the full fiscal 2019, the Company expects:

Total revenue of $343 to $348 million, representing a growth rate of 33 to 35% year-over-year
Non-GAAP operating loss of $72.0 to $67.0 million
Non-GAAP net loss per share of $0.67 to $0.62, assuming shares outstanding of approximately 106 million

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Table of quarter by quarter revenue versus guidance from previous quarter…


                       Q118     Q2      Q3      Q4
Revenue               52,325	60,259	66,911	77,052
guidance (from q-1)		55.5	62.5	70.5
? guidance		        9%	7%	9%
                       Q119     Q2      Q3      Q4
Revenue                83,621	94,586	105,576	115,471
guidance (from q-1)	78.5	84.5	96.5	107.5
? guidance	         7%	12%	9%	7%

From my notes on the last 7 quarters, Okta beats guidance QoQ by say 9% on average, so based on that number, Q1-2020 revenue ‘should’ be 126-127m, or around 52% yoy.

Revenue growth definitely slowing, and no large catalyst that I can see to increase it in the future. From first glance, seems like a nice quarter, and the guidance has spooked some.

cheers
Greg

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