Predictions in mobility technology

[mostlylong]

More predictions.

Who else has a prediction?

(Hint: consider the CEO’s prediction and predict lesser scope per cost: slower delivery, less functional product, higher cost)

@syke6

@syke6

Musk said 2025 would be the most pivotal year in Tesla’s history and has announced several upcoming milestones. But Tesla is either in danger of missing or has missed a number of them, including:

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2. Robotaxi service in June (Musk said a safety driver would not be required so this is a fail)
3. Robotaxi service in California by the end of the year. I predict this will not happen for regulatory reasons alone.
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Welp after the Q2 call, a few of these projections are officially missed.

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2. Missed.
3. Pending, but at extreme risk
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And we have some new projections.

1. Robotaxi available to half the country and most of the populartiionby the end of the year.
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Those are Musk’s projections, by the way.
Here are my hot takes.

1. Defining robotaxi as L4, available to the public, with no human operator onboard, and a paid service, I predict that robotaxi will not be available outside of Texas this year.