Soon it’’s “Peak Human”

I can’t think of a topic that is more MACRO, and by extension, economic.

Humanity Will Reach Its Peak Within Just Decades, Trend Shows

And the impending singularity may spell our end even sooner.

Based on the U.N.’s [projections](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/world-population-by-region-with-projections), our world population could grow to around 8.5 billion in 2030 and up to 9.7 billion in 2050. Then, the peak happens at 10.4 billion during the 2080s, and the decline starts around 2100.

Hell, that forecast may even be a bit on the high side, according to a University of Washington study funded by the Gates Foundation.

The point is, with the world’s population passing 8 billion late last year, the global population peak is drawing rapidly closer. But so, too, is singularity—the concept of artificial intelligence exceeding beyond human control and rapidly transforming society. (One trend shows we’ll reach singularity in just 5 years.) Will singularity throw an entirely different wrinkle into the population peak?

To start, the global population is growing at its slowest rate since 1950. Blame dropping fertility rates. “Today,” the U.N. says, “two-thirds of the global population lives in a country or area where lifetime fertility is below 2.1 births per woman, roughly the level required for zero growth in the long run, for a population with low mortality.”

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(Original story in Popular Mechanics, via Apple News:)

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Hans Rosling, Swedish population explorer, says:

Google Gemini AI Overview

{ Hans Rosling’s view on peak global human population was that it would likely stabilize around 11 billion people. He based this on the idea that population growth is heavily influenced by the age structure of the population and that as global health improves and fertility rates decline, the rate of population growth will slow down and eventually plateau. }

ChatGPT says the current human population growth rate is 0.8% per year… And

{ :chart_increasing: Population Trajectory Summary:

Year Population (UN Estimate)

2025 ~8.1 billion
2050 ~9.7 billion
2100 ~10.4–10.9 billion (peak)
Post-2100 Possibly declining }

Come on humanoid robots!
We need some “laborers”.

:spade_suit:
ralph

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If the AI tech bros are right, what are all these humans going to do?

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Take early retirement?

DB2

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Robots will move up to management. We’ll still have jobs

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